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Fight to Go the Distance?

Sports→Settlement: NOLiquidity: $1.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $5Event: UFC Fight Night: Luis Felipe Dias vs. Matthieu Letho Duclos (Middleweight, Prelims)
0.0¢
YES payout
100.0¢
NO payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:6 trades$23.7K trackedsource coverage 100%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 93 min agoofficial metadata 62 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYNO$7.5K@ 86¢·TheWindKnowsmyName

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome NO. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-06 03:59 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Luis Felipe Dias and Matthieu Letho Duclos at UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse, scheduled for September 5, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."

•Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No."

Read full resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Luis Felipe Dias and Matthieu Letho Duclos at UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse, scheduled for September 5, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 19, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor YES; negative values favor NO. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hNO · $23.7K
6hNO · $23.7K
24hNO · $23.7K

YES price VWAP

Volume-weighted YES price. NO fills are converted to the complementary YES probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h13.2¢▼ below by 13.2pp
VWAP 7d13.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$2.8K
10¢
$20.9K
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$0

VPOC = 10¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

TheWindKnowsmyNameNo$22.2K
BUY VWAP 86.6¢·4 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.