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Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $307.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $264.9KEvent: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals
87.5¢
Pittsburgh Pirates
12.5¢
St. Louis Cardinals
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly3Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets19Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 77%💡 4 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:25 trades$125.4K tracked16% 🐋source coverage 47%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 17 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:St. Louis Cardinals · $10.4K net·4 wallets(2🐋)·$54.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYSt. Louis Cardinals$44.1K@ 54¢·Supremeleader75

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$109
6h
−$50.8K
tracked
$125.4K

4 verified profitable wallets: St. Louis Cardinals · $10.4K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 77% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: -41.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 17 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-05 18:15 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pittsburgh Pirates win the game.

•This market will resolve to "St. Louis Cardinals" if the St. Louis Cardinals win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Pittsburgh Pirates and St. Louis Cardinals, scheduled for August 29 at 2:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pittsburgh Pirates win the game. This market will resolve to "St. Louis Cardinals" if the St. Louis Cardinals win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Pittsburgh Pirates2h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY St. Louis Cardinals@ 54.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -11.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Pittsburgh Pirates@ 47.0¢2h ago
15m CONFIRMED +9.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY St. Louis Cardinals@ 54.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -11.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
Latest book event: Pittsburgh Pirates DOWN 2.5pp · near-book depth $8.3K → $1.1K · 32s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Pittsburgh Pirates; negative values favor St. Louis Cardinals. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hPittsburgh Pirates · $109
6hSt. Louis Cardinals · $50.8K
24hSt. Louis Cardinals · $50.8K

Pittsburgh Pirates price VWAP

Volume-weighted Pittsburgh Pirates price. St. Louis Cardinals fills are converted to the complementary Pittsburgh Pirates probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current87.5¢
VWAP 24h46.1¢▲ above by 41.4pp
VWAP 7d46.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Pittsburgh Pirates price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$1
85¢
← now
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$6
55¢
$11
50¢
$21
45¢
$125.3K
40¢
$49
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYSt. Louis Cardinals$10.0K@ 54.0¢
johnny2340xd38a…8d26
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYSt. Louis Cardinals$32.4K@ 54.0¢
SDTrading0x16bb…8492
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYPittsburgh Pirates$21.9K@ 46.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYSt. Louis Cardinals$44.1K@ 54.0¢
Supremeleader750x5dab…22e1
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Supremeleader75St. Louis Cardinals$44.1K
BUY VWAP 54.0¢·1 fill
SDTradingSt. Louis Cardinals$32.4K
BUY VWAP 54.0¢·1 fill
0x2c33…0563Pittsburgh Pirates$21.9K
BUY VWAP 46.0¢·1 fill
johnny234St. Louis Cardinals$10.0K
BUY VWAP 54.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.