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San Diego Padres vs. Tampa Bay Rays

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $333.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $234.0KEvent: San Diego Padres vs. Tampa Bay Rays
0.1¢
San Diego Padres
100.0¢
Tampa Bay Rays
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection6Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets74Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 10 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:106 trades$96.4K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 41%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 10 min agoofficial metadata just now
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Tampa Bay Rays · $36.1K net·10 wallets(1🐋)·$49.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTampa Bay Rays$27.1K@ 66¢·xifutloong3

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Tampa Bay Rays pressure: $5.5K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$5.5K
6h
−$65.6K
tracked
$96.4K

10 verified profitable wallets: Tampa Bay Rays · $36.1K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +33.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 33.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Tampa Bay Rays or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-05 20:10 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the San Diego Padres and Tampa Bay Rays, scheduled for August 29 at 4:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
HomeRunHazard3 linked markets · $34.5K gross
kapper-betka2 linked markets · $2.2K gross
1winstreak12 linked markets · $1.6K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Tampa Bay Rays2h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Tampa Bay Rays@ 67.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h INVALIDATED -60.0pp
Latest book event: Tampa Bay Rays DOWN 4.0pp · near-book depth $24.0K → $56 · 10s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor San Diego Padres; negative values favor Tampa Bay Rays. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTampa Bay Rays · $5.5K
6hTampa Bay Rays · $65.6K
24hTampa Bay Rays · $64.1K

San Diego Padres price VWAP

Volume-weighted San Diego Padres price. Tampa Bay Rays fills are converted to the complementary San Diego Padres probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h36.3¢▼ below by 36.3pp
VWAP 7d36.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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San Diego Padres price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$63
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$3.2K
60¢
$1.8K
55¢
$7.6K
50¢
$15
45¢
$3.8K
40¢
$0
35¢
$16.8K
30¢
$54.6K
25¢
$0
20¢
$2.1K
15¢
$120
10¢
$5.9K
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$465

VPOC = 30¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYTampa Bay Rays$27.1K@ 66.0¢
xifutloong30x2dc1…b33c
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

xifutloong3Tampa Bay Rays$36.0K
BUY VWAP 66.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.