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US Open, Qualification ATP: Luka Mikrut vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo

Sports→Settlement: RESOLVEDLiquidity: $190.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $119.1KEvent: US Open, Qualification ATP: Luka Mikrut vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
55.0¢
Luka Mikrut payout
45.0¢
Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:30 trades$55.9K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 47%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 108 min agoofficial metadata 81 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYLuka Mikrut$15.1K@ 62¢·jtwyslljy

Historical decision record

Market resolved. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-01 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Luka Mikrut and Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luka Mikrut' if Luka Mikrut advances against Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo. This market will resolve to 'Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo' if Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo advances against Luka Mikrut. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 1h ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 1h ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Luka Mikrut3h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Luka Mikrut@ 64.0¢3h ago
15m CONFIRMED +19.0pp1h CONFIRMED +33.4pp
Latest book event: Luka Mikrut UP 4.0pp · near-book depth $101.0K → $87.2K · 93s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Luka Mikrut; negative values favor Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hNikolas Sanchez Izquierdo · $2.1K
6hLuka Mikrut · $51.3K
24hLuka Mikrut · $51.3K

Luka Mikrut price VWAP

Volume-weighted Luka Mikrut price. Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo fills are converted to the complementary Luka Mikrut probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current55.0¢
VWAP 24h62.3¢▼ below by 7.3pp
VWAP 7d62.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Luka Mikrut price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$953
90¢
$1.1K
85¢
$0
80¢
$10
75¢
$76
70¢
$0
65¢
$9.8K
60¢
$27.7K
55¢
← now
$16.3K
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYLuka Mikrut$15.1K@ 62.0¢
jtwyslljy0x9cb9…32f2
🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

jtwyslljyLuka Mikrut$36.0K
BUY VWAP 62.1¢·5 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.