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US Open, Qualification ATP: Moise Kouame vs Nishesh Basavareddy

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $413.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $449.4KEvent: US Open, Qualification ATP: Moise Kouame vs Nishesh Basavareddy
0.1¢
Moise Kouame
100.0¢
Nishesh Basavareddy
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection10Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets67Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 73%💡 9 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:104 trades$137.5K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 31%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 10 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Nishesh Basavareddy · $10.3K net·9 wallets·$15.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMoise Kouame$24.2K@ 61¢·0x5f65…2036

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Nishesh Basavareddy pressure: $13.9K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$13.9K
6h
+$32.7K
tracked
$137.5K

9 verified profitable wallets: Nishesh Basavareddy · $10.3K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 73% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: -63.9pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Nishesh Basavareddy or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-01 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Moise Kouame and Nishesh Basavareddy in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Moise Kouame' if Moise Kouame advances against Nishesh Basavareddy. This market will resolve to 'Nishesh Basavareddy' if Nishesh Basavareddy advances against Moise Kouame. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Moise Kouame@ 64.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -35.0pp1h INVALIDATED -4.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Moise Kouame@ 61.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -32.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
Latest book event: Moise Kouame DOWN 9.0pp · near-book depth $9 → $19 · 2s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Moise Kouame; negative values favor Nishesh Basavareddy. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hNishesh Basavareddy · $13.9K
6hMoise Kouame · $32.7K
24hMoise Kouame · $33.9K

Moise Kouame price VWAP

Volume-weighted Moise Kouame price. Nishesh Basavareddy fills are converted to the complementary Moise Kouame probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h49.8¢▼ below by 49.7pp
VWAP 7d49.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Moise Kouame price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$24.5K
55¢
$38.3K
50¢
$36.4K
45¢
$4.6K
40¢
$11.3K
35¢
$2.8K
30¢
$5.9K
25¢
$8.1K
20¢
$0
15¢
$2.9K
10¢
$0
5¢
$187
0¢
← now
$4.0K

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYMoise Kouame$18.0K@ 58.5¢
xabidaking0x3f98…0aa1
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYMoise Kouame$24.2K@ 61.4¢0x5f65…2036🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x5f65…2036Moise Kouame$24.2K
BUY VWAP 61.4¢·1 fill
xabidakingMoise Kouame$18.0K
BUY VWAP 58.5¢·1 fill
NO-GOD-PLEASE-NONishesh Basavareddy$14.7K
BUY VWAP 48.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.