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US Open, Qualification ATP: Bernard Tomic vs Lloyd Harris

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $483.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $548.4KEvent: US Open, Qualification ATP: Bernard Tomic vs Lloyd Harris
2.0¢
Bernard Tomic
99.9¢
Lloyd Harris
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection11Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets19Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 85%💡 8 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:148 trades$210.8K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 38%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 5 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Lloyd Harris · $21.9K net·8 wallets(1🐋)·$114.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYLloyd Harris$20.0K@ 91¢·ssj3

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Lloyd Harris pressure: $22.9K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$22.9K
6h
−$17.9K
tracked
$210.8K

8 verified profitable wallets: Lloyd Harris · $21.9K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 85% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: -62.9pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Lloyd Harris or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-01 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Bernard Tomic and Lloyd Harris in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Bernard Tomic' if Bernard Tomic advances against Lloyd Harris. This market will resolve to 'Lloyd Harris' if Lloyd Harris advances against Bernard Tomic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Lloyd Harris1h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Bernard Tomic@ 63.0¢1h ago
15m INVALIDATED -36.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Lloyd Harris@ 39.0¢1h ago
15m CONFIRMED +39.0pp
MARKET SWEEPSELL Lloyd Harris@ 37.0¢1h ago
15m INVALIDATED -42.0pp
Latest book event: Lloyd Harris UP 3.0pp · near-book depth $13.7K → $7.2K · 7s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Bernard Tomic; negative values favor Lloyd Harris. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLloyd Harris · $22.9K
6hLloyd Harris · $17.9K
24hLloyd Harris · $23.3K

Bernard Tomic price VWAP

Volume-weighted Bernard Tomic price. Lloyd Harris fills are converted to the complementary Bernard Tomic probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current2.0¢
VWAP 24h35.6¢▼ below by 33.6pp
VWAP 7d35.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Bernard Tomic price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$9.5K
60¢
$19.5K
55¢
$12.5K
50¢
$35.4K
45¢
$3.3K
40¢
$12.8K
35¢
$3.2K
30¢
$17.0K
25¢
$18.0K
20¢
$18.6K
15¢
$28.8K
10¢
$14.1K
5¢
$20.0K
0¢
← now
$3

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYLloyd Harris$14.0K@ 80.7¢
ssj30x1a95…3a16
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYBernard Tomic$10.0K@ 60.8¢
ssj30x1a95…3a16
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLLloyd Harris$11.0K@ 60.0¢
ssj30x1a95…3a16
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYLloyd Harris$20.0K@ 91.0¢
ssj30x1a95…3a16
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYLloyd Harris$10.0K@ 87.5¢
ssj30x1a95…3a16
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

ssj3Lloyd Harris$47.0K
BUY VWAP 86.6¢·4 fills
ssj3Bernard Tomic$20.0K
BUY VWAP 62.9¢·3 fills
one8tyfiveLloyd Harris$11.5K
BUY VWAP 65.8¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.