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US Open, Qualification ATP: Michael Antonius vs Henry Searle

Sports→Settlement: Michael AntoniusLiquidity: $184.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $71.6KEvent: US Open, Qualification ATP: Michael Antonius vs Henry Searle
100.0¢
Michael Antonius payout
0.0¢
Henry Searle payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:17 trades$29.3K tracked6% 🐋source coverage 41%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 613 min agoofficial metadata 325 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Michael Antonius · $1.4K net·4 wallets·$3.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYHenry Searle$10.0K@ 68¢·Jeffplatter

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Michael Antonius. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-01 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Michael Antonius and Henry Searle in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Michael Antonius' if Michael Antonius advances against Henry Searle. This market will resolve to 'Henry Searle' if Henry Searle advances against Michael Antonius. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 5h ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Michael Antonius UP 3.4pp · near-book depth $10.8K → $2.5K · 106s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Michael Antonius; negative values favor Henry Searle. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hHenry Searle · $5.1K
6hHenry Searle · $18.4K
24hHenry Searle · $17.0K

Michael Antonius price VWAP

Volume-weighted Michael Antonius price. Henry Searle fills are converted to the complementary Michael Antonius probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h49.7¢▲ above by 50.3pp
VWAP 7d49.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Michael Antonius price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$5.1K
90¢
$0
85¢
$84
80¢
$1.2K
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$3.5K
60¢
$1
55¢
$2
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$16.9K
25¢
$2.5K
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 30¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYHenry Searle$10.0K@ 67.6¢
Jeffplatter0xb399…608e
🐋—about 11 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

JeffplatterHenry Searle$16.9K
BUY VWAP 68.5¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.