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Lions vs. Panthers

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 4 hoursLiquidity: $760.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $255.8KEvent: Lions vs. Panthers
65.5¢
Lions
34.5¢
Panthers
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection46Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets94Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 64%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:9 trades$144.0K tracked22% 🐋source coverage 56%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 32 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Lions · $130.1K net·3 wallets(1🐋)·$138.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYLions$60.6K@ 66¢·texaskid

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Lions pressure: $66.2K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$66.2K
6h
+$125.6K
tracked
$144.0K

3 verified profitable wallets: Lions · $130.1K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 64% · priority 0

Since latest accumulation: +0.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 32 minutes old.
  • •Less than 4h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Lions or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-05 00:20 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•If Lions wins, the market will resolve to "Lions".

•If Panthers wins, the market will resolve to "Panthers".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for October 4 at 8:20PM ET: If Lions wins, the market will resolve to "Lions". If Panthers wins, the market will resolve to "Panthers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
takeormake2 linked markets · $76.9K gross
TKD442 linked markets · $43.3K gross
Herdonia2 linked markets · $34.9K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ACCUMULATIONBUY Lions@ 66.0¢39m ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Lions@ 66.0¢39m ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Lions@ 66.0¢1h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Lions; negative values favor Panthers. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLions · $66.2K
6hLions · $125.6K
24hLions · $128.6K

Lions price VWAP

Volume-weighted Lions price. Panthers fills are converted to the complementary Lions probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current65.5¢
VWAP 24h65.5¢▲ above by 0.0pp
VWAP 7d65.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Lions price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
← now
$144.0K
60¢
$6.6K
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 65¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYLions$60.6K@ 66.0¢
texaskid0xc807…c12b
🐋—41 minutes ago
BUYLions$58.8K@ 65.0¢
texaskid0xc807…c12b
🐋—about 1 hour ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Spread: Panthers (-3.5)
23.5¢$179.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Lions (-3.5)
50.5¢$107.4Kpriority52Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Lions (-4.5)
47.5¢$4.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Lions Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Astralis (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs
0.1¢$1.3Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Chiefs (-4.5)
52.5¢$1.1Mpriority62Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: 49ers (-2.5)
54.5¢$880.5Kpriority45Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Chiefs vs. Raiders
68.5¢$587.9Kpriority67Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

texaskidLions$131.5K
BUY VWAP 65.5¢·4 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.