PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Cardinals vs. Giants: O/U 44.5

● quote 35s ago
Sports→Closes: about 9 hoursLiquidity: $196.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $91.7KEvent: Cardinals vs. Giants
47.5¢
Over
52.5¢
Under
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets93Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 61%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:8 trades$40.5K tracked13% 🐋source coverage 44%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 76 min agoofficial metadata 43s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Under · $33.6K net·3 wallets(1🐋)·$36.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYUnder$29.4K@ 52¢·primm

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$37.9K
tracked
$40.5K

3 verified profitable wallets: Under · $33.6K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 61% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +0.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 76 minutes old.
  • •Less than 9h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-04 17:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Over" if the Cardinals and Giants combine to score 45 or more points in this game.

•If the combined total is less than 45, this market will resolve to "Under".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for October 4 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Cardinals and Giants combine to score 45 or more points in this game. If the combined total is less than 45, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
mooseborzoii3 linked markets · $157.7K gross
maz262 linked markets · $84.0K gross
ArielFilipino2 linked markets · $31.9K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Under@ 53.0¢3h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Over; negative values favor Under. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hOver · $0
6hUnder · $37.9K
24hUnder · $37.9K

Over price VWAP

Volume-weighted Over price. Under fills are converted to the complementary Over probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current47.5¢
VWAP 24h48.0¢▼ below by 0.5pp
VWAP 7d48.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Over price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$8.2K
45¢
← now
$40.5K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYUnder$29.4K@ 51.9¢
primm0xd38b…5029
🐋—about 3 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Spread: Cardinals (-2.5)
49.5¢$273.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Cardinals vs. Giants
55.5¢$266.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Cardinals vs. Giants: O/U 43.5
52.5¢$71.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Colts vs. Commanders
65.5¢$636.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Packers vs. Buccaneers
60.5¢$519.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$424.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Patriots vs. Bills
26.5¢$423.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Andrey Rublev
50.5¢$413.9Kpriority59Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

primmUnder$33.6K
BUY VWAP 51.9¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.