PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Spread: Eagles (-5.5)

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 15 minutesLiquidity: $65.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $136.8KEvent: Commanders vs. Eagles
48.0¢
Eagles
52.0¢
Commanders
2.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection23Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution80Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority46Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 74%
24h sample:29 trades$51.9K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 38%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 11 min agoofficial metadata 13s ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYCommanders$28.4K@ 48¢·Kch-Temp

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Eagles pressure: $12.2K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$12.2K
6h
−$17.1K
tracked
$51.9K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
2.0¢displayed spread

Workable spread; verify depth and the $10K slippage estimate below.

Data confidence 74% · priority 46

Since latest large flow: +4.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 11 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Eagles or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-13 20:25 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Eagles" if the Eagles win the game by 6 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Commanders".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NFL football game between Commanders and Eagles, scheduled for September 13 at 4:25 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Eagles" if the Eagles win the game by 6 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Commanders". Overtime is included if played. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
Kch-Temp2 linked markets · $151.9K gross
Herdonia2 linked markets · $32.0K gross
maz262 linked markets · $23.3K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Commanders@ 49.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
Latest book event: Commanders DOWN 5.0pp · near-book depth $2.1K → $8 · 17s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Eagles; negative values favor Commanders. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hEagles · $12.2K
6hCommanders · $17.1K
24hCommanders · $7.0K

Eagles price VWAP

Volume-weighted Eagles price. Commanders fills are converted to the complementary Eagles probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current48.0¢
VWAP 24h51.8¢▼ below by 3.8pp
VWAP 7d51.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Eagles price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$51.9K
45¢
← now
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYCommanders$28.4K@ 48.0¢
Kch-Temp0x9243…658e
🐋—about 3 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Ben Shelton
87.5¢$2.4Mpriority60Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Crystal Palace win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$680.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$427.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Chicago White Sox vs. St. Louis Cardinals
8.5¢$396.4Kpriority49Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Miami Marlins
21.5¢$368.4Kpriority43Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?
4.5¢$344.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins
98.7¢$335.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Coventry City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$307.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Kch-TempCommanders$28.4K
BUY VWAP 48.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.