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Philadelphia Phillies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

Sports→Settlement: Arizona DiamondbacksLiquidity: $654.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $506.7KEvent: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
0.0¢
Philadelphia Phillies payout
100.0¢
Arizona Diamondbacks payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:145 trades$228.2K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 45%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 15 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Philadelphia Phillies · $45.9K net·10 wallets(1🐋)·$50.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYArizona Diamondbacks$51.2K@ 45¢·Sassy-Bucket

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Arizona Diamondbacks. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-09 19:40 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks" if the Arizona Diamondbacks win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Philadelphia Phillies and Arizona Diamondbacks, scheduled for September 2 at 3:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game. This market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks" if the Arizona Diamondbacks win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
ferrariChampions20262 linked markets · $9.4K gross
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r2 linked markets · $3.4K gross
mooseborzoi2 linked markets · $1.2K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Philadelphia Phillies@ 55.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -5.0pp1h INVALIDATED -8.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Arizona Diamondbacks@ 46.0¢3h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h CONFIRMED +5.0pp
ACCUMULATIONBUY Philadelphia Phillies@ 55.0¢7h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h INVALIDATED -8.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Philadelphia Phillies@ 55.0¢7h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h INVALIDATED -8.0pp
Latest book event: Arizona Diamondbacks UP 3.0pp · near-book depth $16.4K → $1.1K · 12s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Philadelphia Phillies; negative values favor Arizona Diamondbacks. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hPhiladelphia Phillies · $5.9K
6hPhiladelphia Phillies · $14.2K
24hPhiladelphia Phillies · $78.7K

Philadelphia Phillies price VWAP

Volume-weighted Philadelphia Phillies price. Arizona Diamondbacks fills are converted to the complementary Philadelphia Phillies probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h49.2¢▼ below by 49.2pp
VWAP 7d49.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Philadelphia Phillies price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$37
55¢
$71.8K
50¢
$128.7K
45¢
$11.1K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$1.1K
10¢
$1.5K
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$14.0K

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLPhiladelphia Phillies$10.2K@ 55.0¢
beeemw0x1e38…fd47
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYPhiladelphia Phillies$35.4K@ 50.0¢
xifutloong30x2dc1…b33c
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYArizona Diamondbacks$51.2K@ 45.0¢
Sassy-Bucket0x4bff…fc26
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYPhiladelphia Phillies$16.6K@ 54.0¢
Pwaddler0x1d1a…0df6
🐋—about 7 hours ago
BUYPhiladelphia Phillies$30.9K@ 53.0¢
Pwaddler0x1d1a…0df6
🐋—about 7 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

PwaddlerPhiladelphia Phillies$56.3K
BUY VWAP 53.4¢·3 fills
Sassy-BucketArizona Diamondbacks$51.2K
BUY VWAP 45.0¢·1 fill
xifutloong3Philadelphia Phillies$40.7K
BUY VWAP 50.0¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.