Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation
No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.
No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.
Workable spread; verify depth and the $10K slippage estimate below.
Data confidence 79% · priority 0
Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.
Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.
Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis
•If the Maple Leafs (Away) win, the market will resolve to "Maple Leafs".
•If the Senators (Home) win, the market will resolve to "Senators".
In the upcoming Split Squad NHL game, scheduled for September 23 at 7:00PM ET: If the Maple Leafs (Away) win, the market will resolve to "Maple Leafs". If the Senators (Home) win, the market will resolve to "Senators". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible
Outcome Price History
Market Analytics
Signed Order Flow
Maple Leafs price VWAP
Largest holders
Maple Leafs price Volume Profile · tracked 30d
VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC
Observed net position building
Related Markets · same event first, then category
Observed whale buys · 7d
Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome
Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.