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US Open WTA: Yulia Putintseva vs Belinda Bencic

● quote 29s ago
Sports→Closes: 5 daysLiquidity: $233.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $560.5KEvent: US Open WTA: Yulia Putintseva vs Belinda Bencic
100.0¢
Yulia Putintseva
0.1¢
Belinda Bencic
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection9Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets79Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 10 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:167 trades$218.3K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 39%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 11 min agoofficial metadata 43s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Belinda Bencic · $37.2K net·10 wallets(1🐋)·$47.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYBelinda Bencic$21.0K@ 80¢·StasPanda

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Belinda Bencic pressure: $19.7K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$19.7K
6h
−$47.3K
tracked
$218.3K

10 verified profitable wallets: Belinda Bencic · $37.2K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 11 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Belinda Bencic or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-06 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Yulia Putintseva and Belinda Bencic in the US Open WTA, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yulia Putintseva' if Yulia Putintseva advances against Belinda Bencic. This market will resolve to 'Belinda Bencic' if Belinda Bencic advances against Yulia Putintseva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Belinda Bencic@ 81.0¢7h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h CONFIRMED +4.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Belinda Bencic@ 81.0¢7h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h CONFIRMED +4.0pp
Latest book event: Belinda Bencic DOWN 6.6pp · near-book depth $125 → $8.4K · 1s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Yulia Putintseva; negative values favor Belinda Bencic. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hBelinda Bencic · $19.7K
6hBelinda Bencic · $47.3K
24hBelinda Bencic · $97.1K

Yulia Putintseva price VWAP

Volume-weighted Yulia Putintseva price. Belinda Bencic fills are converted to the complementary Yulia Putintseva probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h40.8¢▲ above by 59.1pp
VWAP 7d40.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Yulia Putintseva price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$23.5K
90¢
$1.4K
85¢
$22.0K
80¢
$2.1K
75¢
$1.8K
70¢
$0
65¢
$1.6K
60¢
$11.0K
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$2.7K
40¢
$8.6K
35¢
$5.9K
30¢
$12.4K
25¢
$11.7K
20¢
$64.3K
15¢
$10.5K
10¢
$34.8K
5¢
$4.0K
0¢
$5

VPOC = 20¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYBelinda Bencic$11.0K@ 35.1¢0x5f65…2036🐋—31 minutes ago
BUYYulia Putintseva$10.0K@ 24.1¢0x5f65…2036🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYBelinda Bencic$21.0K@ 80.0¢
StasPanda0x7e5e…7315
🐋—about 8 hours ago
BUYBelinda Bencic$19.0K@ 80.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—about 14 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

ferrariChampions2026Belinda Bencic$23.0K
BUY VWAP 79.2¢·3 fills
StasPandaBelinda Bencic$21.0K
BUY VWAP 80.0¢·1 fill
FlaznorpYulia Putintseva$18.5K
BUY VWAP 55.6¢·7 fills
0x5f65…2036Belinda Bencic$11.0K
BUY VWAP 35.1¢·1 fill
mooseborzoiBelinda Bencic$10.5K
BUY VWAP 75.7¢·3 fills
0x5f65…2036Yulia Putintseva$10.0K
BUY VWAP 24.1¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.