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US Open ATP: Jurij Rodionov vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

● quote 23s ago
Sports→Closes: 6 daysLiquidity: $309.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $594.6KEvent: US Open ATP: Jurij Rodionov vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
100.0¢
Jurij Rodionov
0.1¢
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection10Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets78Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 76%💡 9 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:106 trades$252.2K tracked8% 🐋source coverage 42%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 7 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard · $42.4K net·9 wallets(1🐋)·$54.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYJurij Rodionov$24.2K@ 93¢·DonaldinhoTrumpito

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard pressure: $24.8K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$24.8K
6h
−$5.9K
tracked
$252.2K

9 verified profitable wallets: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard · $42.4K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 76% · priority 0

Since latest accumulation: +6.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-06 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Jurij Rodionov and Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jurij Rodionov' if Jurij Rodionov advances against Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard. This market will resolve to 'Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard' if Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard advances against Jurij Rodionov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ACCUMULATIONBUY Jurij Rodionov@ 94.0¢42m ago
15m CONFIRMED +3.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Jurij Rodionov@ 94.0¢42m ago
15m CONFIRMED +3.0pp
POSITION CHANGEBUY Jurij Rodionov@ 94.0¢43m ago
15m CONFIRMED +3.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Jurij Rodionov@ 93.0¢1h ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Jurij Rodionov UP 3.0pp · near-book depth $79.6K → $5.2K · 3s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Jurij Rodionov; negative values favor Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hGiovanni Mpetshi Perricard · $24.8K
6hGiovanni Mpetshi Perricard · $5.9K
24hGiovanni Mpetshi Perricard · $14.9K

Jurij Rodionov price VWAP

Volume-weighted Jurij Rodionov price. Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard fills are converted to the complementary Jurij Rodionov probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h78.8¢▲ above by 21.2pp
VWAP 7d78.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Jurij Rodionov price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$45.0K
90¢
$85.4K
85¢
$4.0K
80¢
$0
75¢
$36.3K
70¢
$0
65¢
$225
60¢
$10.0K
55¢
$7.6K
50¢
$62.1K
45¢
$1.5K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 90¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLJurij Rodionov$23.5K@ 99.9¢0x32b4…8b21🐋—7 minutes ago
SELLJurij Rodionov$11.6K@ 93.0¢
AGUGava0x0353…c2ff
🐋—42 minutes ago
BUYJurij Rodionov$15.1K@ 93.0¢
DonaldinhoTrumpito0x7523…4c4c
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYJurij Rodionov$24.2K@ 93.0¢
DonaldinhoTrumpito0x7523…4c4c
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYJurij Rodionov$19.7K@ 92.0¢
DonaldinhoTrumpito0x7523…4c4c
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYGiovanni Mpetshi Perricard$10.0K@ 24.6¢0x5f65…2036🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYGiovanni Mpetshi Perricard$10.0K@ 38.0¢0x5f65…2036🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYJurij Rodionov$10.9K@ 52.0¢
IAmHomelessNow0xd3fa…a26c
🐋—about 6 hours ago
BUYGiovanni Mpetshi Perricard$18.9K@ 48.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—about 6 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

DonaldinhoTrumpitoJurij Rodionov$64.2K
BUY VWAP 87.2¢·4 fills
0x5f65…2036Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard$29.0K
BUY VWAP 33.9¢·3 fills
ferrariChampions2026Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard$23.7K
BUY VWAP 37.2¢·4 fills
0x1610…ae49Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard$23.7K
BUY VWAP 18.7¢·7 fills
IAmHomelessNowJurij Rodionov$10.9K
BUY VWAP 52.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.