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Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 5 hoursLiquidity: $53.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.2MEvent: Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B
32.5¢
FUT Esports
67.5¢
Vitality
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection42Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets21Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution85Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority58Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 87%💡 11 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:139 trades$560.2K tracked8% 🐋source coverage 46%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 4 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Vitality · $19.5K net·11 wallets(2🐋)·$94.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYVitality$102.0K@ 68¢·0xd570…e4f8

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Vitality SETUP
What the tape says

Vitality pressure: $235.5K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$235.5K
6h
−$255.8K
tracked
$560.2K

11 verified profitable wallets: Vitality · $19.5K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 87% · priority 58

Since latest position change: +7.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Less than 5h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Vitality or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-01 00:35 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "FUT Esports" if FUT Esports win the match against Vitality.

•This market will resolve to "Vitality" if Vitality win the match against FUT Esports.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket final match between FUT Esports and Vitality in the BLAST Open Porto Group B, initially scheduled for August 31, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET. This market will resolve to "FUT Esports" if FUT Esports win the match against Vitality. This market will resolve to "Vitality" if Vitality win the match against FUT Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 14, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 31, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xd570…e4f83 linked markets · $245.2K gross
0x1610…ae492 linked markets · $40.9K gross
0x29b5…cc6c3 linked markets · $40.0K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Vitality11m ago
Outcome checks pending
POSITION CHANGEBUY Vitality@ 61.0¢17m ago
Outcome checks pending
LIQUIDITY ABSORPTIONBUY Vitality@ 69.0¢48m ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp
WHALE FOLLOW THROUGHBUY Vitality@ 69.0¢48m ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor FUT Esports; negative values favor Vitality. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hVitality · $235.5K
6hVitality · $255.8K
24hVitality · $258.8K

FUT Esports price VWAP

Volume-weighted FUT Esports price. Vitality fills are converted to the complementary FUT Esports probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current32.5¢
VWAP 24h31.9¢▲ above by 0.6pp
VWAP 7d31.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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FUT Esports price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$800
35¢
$6.0K
30¢
← now
$551.6K
25¢
$1.8K
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 30¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYFUT Esports$34.7K@ 32.0¢
AV23IUa0xdb85…152f
🐋—27 minutes ago
BUYVitality$18.9K@ 69.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—29 minutes ago
BUYVitality$49.1K@ 69.0¢
Rusik70xa6a0…4469
🐋—37 minutes ago
BUYVitality$43.7K@ 69.0¢
Sunny240x2089…712e
🐋—37 minutes ago
BUYFUT Esports$15.0K@ 32.0¢0xf559…f462🐋—41 minutes ago
BUYVitality$11.4K@ 69.0¢
suleng660x4f0e…0200
🐋—43 minutes ago
BUYFUT Esports$15.0K@ 33.0¢
CORGI80x79ae…9a4a
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYVitality$22.4K@ 68.0¢
omomom30x0a53…077b
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYVitality$40.8K@ 68.0¢0xd570…e4f8🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYVitality$34.0K@ 68.0¢0xd570…e4f8🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYVitality$102.0K@ 68.0¢0xd570…e4f8🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xd570…e4f8Vitality$176.8K
BUY VWAP 68.0¢·3 fills
Rusik7Vitality$49.1K
BUY VWAP 69.0¢·1 fill
Sunny24Vitality$43.7K
BUY VWAP 69.0¢·1 fill
AV23IUaFUT Esports$34.7K
BUY VWAP 32.0¢·1 fill
0x29b5…cc6cVitality$26.9K
BUY VWAP 68.0¢·3 fills
omomom3Vitality$22.4K
BUY VWAP 68.0¢·1 fill
0x1610…ae49Vitality$18.9K
BUY VWAP 69.0¢·1 fill
CORGI8FUT Esports$15.0K
BUY VWAP 33.0¢·1 fill
0xf559…f462FUT Esports$15.0K
BUY VWAP 32.0¢·1 fill
BrotherObamaFUT Esports$15.0K
BUY VWAP 33.2¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.