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US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Hugo Gaston

Sports→Settlement: Daniil MedvedevLiquidity: $186.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $150.9KEvent: US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Hugo Gaston
100.0¢
Daniil Medvedev payout
0.0¢
Hugo Gaston payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:21 trades$67.5K tracked5% 🐋source coverage 45%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 70 min agoofficial metadata 26 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Daniil Medvedev · $41.5K net·2 wallets(1🐋)·$51.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYDaniil Medvedev$46.2K@ 87¢·beachboy4

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Daniil Medvedev. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-06 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Daniil Medvedev and Hugo Gaston in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Medvedev' if Daniil Medvedev advances against Hugo Gaston. This market will resolve to 'Hugo Gaston' if Hugo Gaston advances against Daniil Medvedev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Daniil Medvedev@ 87.0¢3h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h CONFIRMED +9.0pp

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Daniil Medvedev; negative values favor Hugo Gaston. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hDaniil Medvedev · $4.0K
6hDaniil Medvedev · $56.7K
24hDaniil Medvedev · $57.9K

Daniil Medvedev price VWAP

Volume-weighted Daniil Medvedev price. Hugo Gaston fills are converted to the complementary Daniil Medvedev probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h89.3¢▲ above by 10.7pp
VWAP 7d89.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Daniil Medvedev price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$9.9K
90¢
$5.4K
85¢
$52.2K
80¢
$48
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 85¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYDaniil Medvedev$46.2K@ 87.0¢
beachboy40xc2e7…be51
🐋—about 4 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

beachboy4Daniil Medvedev$46.2K
BUY VWAP 87.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.