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Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 1 hourLiquidity: $30.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $148.3KEvent: Real Madrid CF vs. FC Internazionale Milano - More Markets
69.5¢
Real Madrid CF
30.5¢
FC Internazionale Milano
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection34Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution79Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority58Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 83%💡 5 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:43 trades$49.0K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 33%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 3 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:FC Internazionale Milano · $11.1K net·5 wallets(1🐋)·$32.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYFC Internazionale Milano$11.3K@ 62¢·Flaznorp

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW FC Internazionale Milano SETUP
What the tape says

FC Internazionale Milano pressure: $16.8K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$16.8K
6h
−$10.2K
tracked
$49.0K

5 verified profitable wallets: FC Internazionale Milano · $11.1K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 83% · priority 58

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from FC Internazionale Milano or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-08 19:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.uefa.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Real Madrid CF" if Real Madrid CF win the game by 2 or more goals.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "FC Internazionale Milano".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game, scheduled for September 8 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Real Madrid CF" if Real Madrid CF win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "FC Internazionale Milano". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on uefa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0F622 linked markets · $164.8K gross
Flaznorp7 linked markets · $39.6K gross
UpTheBlues6 linked markets · $16.1K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Real Madrid CF UP 2.5pp · near-book depth $11.0K → $4.6K · 48s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Real Madrid CF; negative values favor FC Internazionale Milano. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hFC Internazionale Milano · $16.8K
6hFC Internazionale Milano · $10.2K
24hFC Internazionale Milano · $13.7K

Real Madrid CF price VWAP

Volume-weighted Real Madrid CF price. FC Internazionale Milano fills are converted to the complementary Real Madrid CF probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current69.5¢
VWAP 24h45.3¢▲ above by 24.2pp
VWAP 7d45.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Real Madrid CF price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$2.6K
65¢
← now
$8.3K
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$1.2K
40¢
$26
35¢
$37.9K
30¢
$27
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYFC Internazionale Milano$11.3K@ 62.0¢
Flaznorp0x821d…cf16
🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

FlaznorpFC Internazionale Milano$15.1K
BUY VWAP 62.1¢·4 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.