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LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner

● quote 1 min ago
Sports→Closes: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $996.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.2MEvent: LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Playoffs
1.0¢
BNK FEARX
99.9¢
Dplus KIA
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection12Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets46Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 86%💡 23 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:228 trades$494.6K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 42%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 6 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Dplus KIA · $56.2K net·23 wallets(2🐋)·$129.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYDplus KIA$19.0K@ 62¢·254321758

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

BNK FEARX pressure: $57.3K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$57.3K
6h
−$77.4K
tracked
$494.6K

23 verified profitable wallets: Dplus KIA · $56.2K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 86% · priority 0

Since latest market sweep: -52.9pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Less than 2h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from BNK FEARX or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-03 14:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "BNK FEARX" if BNK FEARX win Game 4 against Dplus KIA.

•This market will resolve to "Dplus KIA" if Dplus KIA win Game 4 against BNK FEARX.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket round 1 match between BNK FEARX and Dplus KIA in the LCK Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "BNK FEARX" if BNK FEARX win Game 4 against Dplus KIA. This market will resolve to "Dplus KIA" if Dplus KIA win Game 4 against BNK FEARX. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 4 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 4. If Game 4 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 17, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 3, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x7c37…6aeb3 linked markets · $428.0K gross
2543217585 linked markets · $250.9K gross
BrotherObama4 linked markets · $175.1K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Dplus KIA56m ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY BNK FEARX59m ago
Outcome checks pending
MARKET SWEEPBUY BNK FEARX@ 53.0¢1h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Dplus KIA@ 59.0¢1h ago
15m CONFIRMED +21.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Dplus KIA UP 5.5pp · near-book depth $5.9K → $10.4K · 1s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor BNK FEARX; negative values favor Dplus KIA. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hBNK FEARX · $57.3K
6hDplus KIA · $77.4K
24hDplus KIA · $77.4K

BNK FEARX price VWAP

Volume-weighted BNK FEARX price. Dplus KIA fills are converted to the complementary BNK FEARX probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current1.0¢
VWAP 24h32.2¢▼ below by 31.2pp
VWAP 7d32.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

BNK FEARX price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$1.0K
60¢
$20.5K
55¢
$56.5K
50¢
$28.8K
45¢
$5
40¢
$109.6K
35¢
$115.8K
30¢
$4.0K
25¢
$17.0K
20¢
$3.9K
15¢
$1.2K
10¢
$2.6K
5¢
$6.5K
0¢
← now
$127.3K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLDplus KIA$11.0K@ 99.9¢
5e46h0xd487…053e
🐋—44 minutes ago
SELLDplus KIA$14.8K@ 99.9¢
CCCYS0x0c9f…5f5a
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYDplus KIA$19.0K@ 99.0¢
2543217580x04b1…d224
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYDplus KIA$11.3K@ 42.0¢
2543217580x04b1…d224
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYDplus KIA$19.0K@ 62.0¢
2543217580x04b1…d224
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYDplus KIA$15.0K@ 59.0¢
laopilao0xce29…3b0d
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYDplus KIA$14.0K@ 62.0¢
BrotherObama0x8a86…4998
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYDplus KIA$12.0K@ 62.7¢
BrotherObama0x8a86…4998
🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

254321758Dplus KIA$52.7K
BUY VWAP 63.5¢·5 fills
BrotherObamaDplus KIA$26.0K
BUY VWAP 62.3¢·2 fills
laopilaoDplus KIA$16.0K
BUY VWAP 58.1¢·2 fills
vtcchampion52Dplus KIA$15.4K
BUY VWAP 61.2¢·8 fills
white-rabbitDplus KIA$12.7K
BUY VWAP 48.5¢·9 fills
xytestDplus KIA$11.0K
BUY VWAP 49.2¢·7 fills
0xheavy888Dplus KIA$10.8K
BUY VWAP 48.9¢·6 fills
minjiDplus KIA$10.5K
BUY VWAP 51.5¢·6 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.