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Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $28.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $249.4KEvent: Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles
97.5¢
Boston Red Sox
2.5¢
Baltimore Orioles
0.7¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection41Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets19Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution79Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 74%💡 7 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:70 trades$90.0K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 36%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 12 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Boston Red Sox · $5.6K net·7 wallets(1🐋)·$30.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYBoston Red Sox$15.0K@ 53¢·IcemanSeason

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Boston Red Sox pressure: $37.1K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$37.1K
6h
+$27.4K
tracked
$90.0K

7 verified profitable wallets: Boston Red Sox · $5.6K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.7¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 74% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +45.9pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 12 minutes old.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 45.9pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Boston Red Sox or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-12 23:05 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Boston Red Sox and Baltimore Orioles, scheduled for September 5 at 7:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox win the game. This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Boston Red Sox24m ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Boston Red Sox@ 52.0¢54m ago
15m INVALIDATED -4.0pp
Latest book event: Baltimore Orioles DOWN 9.0pp · near-book depth $72 → $9 · 4s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Boston Red Sox; negative values favor Baltimore Orioles. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hBoston Red Sox · $37.1K
6hBoston Red Sox · $27.4K
24hBoston Red Sox · $22.8K

Boston Red Sox price VWAP

Volume-weighted Boston Red Sox price. Baltimore Orioles fills are converted to the complementary Boston Red Sox probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current97.5¢
VWAP 24h61.9¢▲ above by 35.7pp
VWAP 7d61.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Boston Red Sox price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$0
90¢
$15.2K
85¢
$4.3K
80¢
$4.0K
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$4
55¢
$15.5K
50¢
$36.1K
45¢
$13.5K
40¢
$2.4K
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYBoston Red Sox$13.6K@ 93.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—13 minutes ago
BUYBoston Red Sox$15.0K@ 52.6¢
IcemanSeason0xb939…da70
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYBoston Red Sox$10.0K@ 52.0¢
IcemanSeason0xb939…da70
🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

IcemanSeasonBoston Red Sox$25.0K
BUY VWAP 52.4¢·2 fills
ferrariChampions2026Boston Red Sox$13.6K
BUY VWAP 93.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.