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Porto: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Hugo Dellien

Sports→Settlement: Hugo DellienLiquidity: $194.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $105.0KEvent: Porto: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Hugo Dellien
0.0¢
Gilles Arnaud Bailly payout
100.0¢
Hugo Dellien payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:20 trades$53.1K tracked5% 🐋source coverage 51%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 97 min agoofficial metadata 40 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Hugo Dellien · $28.4K net·4 wallets(1🐋)·$46.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYHugo Dellien$12.8K@ 97¢·Flaznorp

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Hugo Dellien. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-10 09:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Gilles Arnaud Bailly and Hugo Dellien in the Porto, originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gilles Arnaud Bailly' if Gilles Arnaud Bailly advances against Hugo Dellien. This market will resolve to 'Hugo Dellien' if Hugo Dellien advances against Gilles Arnaud Bailly. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Hugo Dellien UP 4.5pp · near-book depth $10.1K → $1.4K · 39s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Gilles Arnaud Bailly; negative values favor Hugo Dellien. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hGilles Arnaud Bailly · $8
6hHugo Dellien · $31.2K
24hHugo Dellien · $31.2K

Gilles Arnaud Bailly price VWAP

Volume-weighted Gilles Arnaud Bailly price. Hugo Dellien fills are converted to the complementary Gilles Arnaud Bailly probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h16.9¢▼ below by 16.9pp
VWAP 7d16.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Gilles Arnaud Bailly price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$9.5K
30¢
$11.2K
25¢
$0
20¢
$1.7K
15¢
$1.7K
10¢
$2.3K
5¢
$3
0¢
← now
$26.7K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYHugo Dellien$12.8K@ 97.0¢
Flaznorp0x821d…cf16
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

fkcvffcjtHugo Dellien$18.3K
BUY VWAP 64.6¢·5 fills
FlaznorpHugo Dellien$14.3K
BUY VWAP 97.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.