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Counter-Strike: B8 vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Qualifier Playoffs

● quote 21s ago
Sports→Closes: about 4 hoursLiquidity: $429.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $215.0KEvent: Counter-Strike: B8 vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Qualifier Playoffs
99.9¢
B8
0.1¢
HOTU
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection1Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets53Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 6 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:57 trades$83.4K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 39%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 9 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:B8 · $5.9K net·6 wallets·$11.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYB8$21.7K@ 58¢·t198

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

HOTU pressure: $1.0K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$1.0K
6h
+$35.2K
tracked
$83.4K

6 verified profitable wallets: B8 · $5.9K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +42.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Less than 4h remains; resolution risk is elevated.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 42.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from HOTU or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-03 21:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "B8" if B8 win the match against HOTU.

•This market will resolve to "HOTU" if HOTU win the match against B8.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket semifinal 2 match between B8 and HOTU in the IEM Beijing: Global Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "B8" if B8 win the match against HOTU. This market will resolve to "HOTU" if HOTU win the match against B8. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 17, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 3, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415f3 linked markets · $49.0K gross
5e46h2 linked markets · $10.8K gross
0xheavy8882 linked markets · $5.7K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY B8@ 58.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -7.0pp1h CONFIRMED +17.0pp
Latest book event: HOTU DOWN 4.5pp · near-book depth $1.2K → $352 · 2s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor B8; negative values favor HOTU. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hHOTU · $1.0K
6hB8 · $35.2K
24hB8 · $55.4K

B8 price VWAP

Volume-weighted B8 price. HOTU fills are converted to the complementary B8 probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h61.0¢▲ above by 38.9pp
VWAP 7d61.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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B8 price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$5.8K
90¢
$0
85¢
$43
80¢
$2.1K
75¢
$43
70¢
$2.9K
65¢
$132
60¢
$131
55¢
$70.5K
50¢
$1.8K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYB8$21.7K@ 58.0¢
t1980x90aa…0dca
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYB8$10.3K@ 57.0¢0xf559…f462🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

t198B8$21.7K
BUY VWAP 58.0¢·1 fill
0xf559…f462B8$17.9K
BUY VWAP 56.6¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.