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US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 6 daysLiquidity: $28.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $348.7KEvent: US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny
100.0¢
Luciano Darderi
0.1¢
Dane Sweeny
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection13Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets89Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 77%💡 13 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:82 trades$170.9K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 49%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 7 min agoofficial metadata 23s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Luciano Darderi · $88.8K net·13 wallets(2🐋)·$100.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYLuciano Darderi$24.7K@ 75¢·0x2c33…0563

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Luciano Darderi pressure: $22.6K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$22.6K
6h
+$117.6K
tracked
$170.9K

13 verified profitable wallets: Luciano Darderi · $88.8K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 77% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +26.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 26.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Luciano Darderi or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-11 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Luciano Darderi and Dane Sweeny in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luciano Darderi' if Luciano Darderi advances against Dane Sweeny. This market will resolve to 'Dane Sweeny' if Dane Sweeny advances against Luciano Darderi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Luciano Darderi2h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Luciano Darderi@ 74.0¢2h ago
15m CONFIRMED +9.0pp1h CONFIRMED +14.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Luciano Darderi@ 76.0¢2h ago
15m CONFIRMED +5.0pp1h CONFIRMED +10.0pp
Latest book event: Dane Sweeny DOWN 3.0pp · near-book depth $16.0K → $9.2K · 34s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Luciano Darderi; negative values favor Dane Sweeny. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLuciano Darderi · $22.6K
6hLuciano Darderi · $117.6K
24hLuciano Darderi · $122.2K

Luciano Darderi price VWAP

Volume-weighted Luciano Darderi price. Dane Sweeny fills are converted to the complementary Luciano Darderi probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h78.6¢▲ above by 21.3pp
VWAP 7d78.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Luciano Darderi price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$7.3K
90¢
$15.6K
85¢
$3.6K
80¢
$15.4K
75¢
$109.2K
70¢
$19.8K
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 75¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYLuciano Darderi$18.6K@ 72.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYLuciano Darderi$10.4K@ 76.0¢
Flaznorp0x821d…cf16
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYLuciano Darderi$24.7K@ 75.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x2c33…0563Luciano Darderi$43.3K
BUY VWAP 73.7¢·2 fills
ferrariChampions2026Luciano Darderi$16.0K
BUY VWAP 79.1¢·2 fills
TRCMLuciano Darderi$13.4K
BUY VWAP 77.6¢·5 fills
FlaznorpLuciano Darderi$12.8K
BUY VWAP 78.8¢·3 fills
tradecraftLuciano Darderi$10.6K
BUY VWAP 77.2¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.