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US Open WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Emma Navarro

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $202.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $628.7KEvent: US Open WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Emma Navarro
52.5¢
Jessica Pegula
47.5¢
Emma Navarro
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection39Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets39Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority64Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 89%💡 12 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:111 trades$364.4K tracked8% 🐋source coverage 58%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 4 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Jessica Pegula · $14.8K net·12 wallets(1🐋)·$37.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYJessica Pegula$69.1K@ 78¢·0x3dfb…abaf

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Jessica Pegula SETUP
What the tape says

Jessica Pegula pressure: $141.9K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$141.9K
6h
+$256.4K
tracked
$364.4K

12 verified profitable wallets: Jessica Pegula · $14.8K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 89% · priority 64

Since latest accumulation: -18.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Jessica Pegula or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-15 15:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Jessica Pegula and Emma Navarro in the US Open WTA, originally scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 11:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jessica Pegula' if Jessica Pegula advances against Emma Navarro. This market will resolve to 'Emma Navarro' if Emma Navarro advances against Jessica Pegula. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ACCUMULATIONBUY Jessica Pegula@ 71.0¢30m ago
15m INVALIDATED -13.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Jessica Pegula@ 72.0¢34m ago
15m INVALIDATED -22.0pp
LIQUIDITY ABSORPTIONBUY Jessica Pegula@ 78.0¢58m ago
15m INVALIDATED -5.0pp
POSITION CHANGEBUY Jessica Pegula@ 78.0¢1h ago
15m INVALIDATED -5.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Jessica Pegula; negative values favor Emma Navarro. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hJessica Pegula · $141.9K
6hJessica Pegula · $256.4K
24hJessica Pegula · $256.4K

Jessica Pegula price VWAP

Volume-weighted Jessica Pegula price. Emma Navarro fills are converted to the complementary Jessica Pegula probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current52.5¢
VWAP 24h73.8¢▼ below by 21.3pp
VWAP 7d73.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Jessica Pegula price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$1.8K
75¢
$207.8K
70¢
$106.6K
65¢
$1.6K
60¢
$12.1K
55¢
$14.9K
50¢
← now
$19.5K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 75¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYJessica Pegula$10.2K@ 53.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—14 minutes ago
BUYJessica Pegula$20.0K@ 74.6¢0x78be…bde0🐋—33 minutes ago
BUYJessica Pegula$20.0K@ 72.5¢0x78be…bde0🐋—33 minutes ago
BUYJessica Pegula$11.3K@ 74.0¢0x78be…bde0🐋—36 minutes ago
BUYJessica Pegula$38.7K@ 72.5¢0x78be…bde0🐋—36 minutes ago
BUYJessica Pegula$13.0K@ 78.0¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYJessica Pegula$50.4K@ 78.0¢0x3dfb…abaf🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYJessica Pegula$69.1K@ 78.0¢0x3dfb…abaf🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYEmma Navarro$10.0K@ 23.0¢0x2bf5…de69🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x3dfb…abafJessica Pegula$126.1K
BUY VWAP 78.0¢·3 fills
0x78be…bde0Jessica Pegula$95.0K
BUY VWAP 73.2¢·5 fills
0x2bf5…de69Emma Navarro$15.2K
BUY VWAP 23.3¢·2 fills
kkookkooJessica Pegula$13.0K
BUY VWAP 78.0¢·1 fill
LeBronGamerJessica Pegula$11.4K
BUY VWAP 64.5¢·6 fills
0x2c33…0563Jessica Pegula$10.2K
BUY VWAP 53.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.