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Jets vs. Red Wings

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 44 minutesLiquidity: $48.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $285.5KEvent: Jets vs. Red Wings
81.5¢
Jets
18.5¢
Red Wings
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection46Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution68Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority60Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 87%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:18 trades$139.3K tracked22% 🐋source coverage 49%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 4 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYJets$36.5K@ 52¢·Gourmet1

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Jets pressure: $64.4K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$64.4K
6h
+$102.7K
tracked
$139.3K

1 verified profitable wallet: Jets · $307 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 87% · priority 60

Since latest large flow: +30.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Executable BUY price moved 30.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Jets or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-04 17:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nhl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•If the Jets win, the market will resolve to "Jets".

•If the Red Wings win, the market will resolve to "Red Wings".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for October 4 at 1:00PM ET: If the Jets win, the market will resolve to "Jets". If the Red Wings win, the market will resolve to "Red Wings". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Jets@ 52.0¢49m ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Jets@ 52.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -2.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Jets@ 52.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -2.0pp
Latest book event: Jets UP 6.5pp · near-book depth $514 → $122 · 1s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Jets; negative values favor Red Wings. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hJets · $64.4K
6hJets · $102.7K
24hJets · $104.8K

Jets price VWAP

Volume-weighted Jets price. Red Wings fills are converted to the complementary Jets probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current81.5¢
VWAP 24h51.8¢▲ above by 29.6pp
VWAP 7d51.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Jets price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
← now
$103
75¢
$212
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$139.0K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYJets$36.5K@ 52.0¢
Gourmet10xc430…1ebf
🐋—44 minutes ago
BUYJets$31.2K@ 52.0¢
viboomchuu0x291d…1f97
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYJets$21.4K@ 52.0¢
rustin0xaa07…2125
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYJets$24.7K@ 51.0¢
Gourmet10xc430…1ebf
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Gourmet1Jets$61.3K
BUY VWAP 51.6¢·2 fills
viboomchuuJets$31.2K
BUY VWAP 52.0¢·1 fill
rustinJets$21.4K
BUY VWAP 52.0¢·1 fill
Sassy-BucketRed Wings$17.3K
BUY VWAP 48.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.