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Minnesota Lynx vs. Indiana Fever

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 4 minutesLiquidity: $275.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $204.9KEvent: Minnesota Lynx vs. Indiana Fever
40.5¢
Minnesota Lynx
59.5¢
Indiana Fever
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection11Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority54Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 84%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:51 trades$73.9K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 36%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 4 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYIndiana Fever$17.9K@ 53¢·Kingdmandan

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

Indiana Fever pressure: $8.3K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$8.3K
6h
−$42.9K
tracked
$73.9K

1 verified profitable wallet: Indiana Fever · $1.9K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 84% · priority 54

Since latest large flow: +3.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Indiana Fever or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-23 00:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wnba.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•If the Minnesota Lynx win, the market will resolve to "Minnesota Lynx".

•If the Indiana Fever win, the market will resolve to "Indiana Fever".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for September 22 at 8:00PM ET: If the Minnesota Lynx win, the market will resolve to "Minnesota Lynx". If the Indiana Fever win, the market will resolve to "Indiana Fever". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
SunlineTicker2 linked markets · $21.3K gross
quavoo2 linked markets · $11.8K gross
meoooow2 linked markets · $2.8K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Indiana Fever@ 57.0¢1h ago
15m STALLED +2.0pp1h STALLED +2.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Minnesota Lynx; negative values favor Indiana Fever. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hIndiana Fever · $8.3K
6hIndiana Fever · $42.9K
24hIndiana Fever · $45.3K

Minnesota Lynx price VWAP

Volume-weighted Minnesota Lynx price. Indiana Fever fills are converted to the complementary Minnesota Lynx probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current40.5¢
VWAP 24h43.9¢▼ below by 3.4pp
VWAP 7d43.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Minnesota Lynx price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$32.0K
40¢
← now
$29.6K
35¢
$12.3K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYIndiana Fever$17.9K@ 52.7¢
Kingdmandan0xb915…8da5
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

KingdmandanIndiana Fever$23.8K
BUY VWAP 53.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.