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Seville: Max Alcala Gurri vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri

● quote 22s ago
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $114.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $357.5KEvent: Seville: Max Alcala Gurri vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri
100.0¢
Max Alcala Gurri
0.1¢
Genaro Alberto Olivieri
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets16Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 83%💡 11 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:106 trades$119.9K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 34%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 3 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Genaro Alberto Olivieri · $9.8K net·11 wallets(1🐋)·$62.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLMax Alcala Gurri$14.6K@ 100¢·0x1602…fbb0

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$137
6h
+$6.1K
tracked
$119.9K

11 verified profitable wallets: Genaro Alberto Olivieri · $9.8K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 83% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-18 18:15 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Max Alcala Gurri and Genaro Alberto Olivieri in the Seville, originally scheduled for September 11, 2026 at 2:15PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Max Alcala Gurri' if Max Alcala Gurri advances against Genaro Alberto Olivieri. This market will resolve to 'Genaro Alberto Olivieri' if Genaro Alberto Olivieri advances against Max Alcala Gurri. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Max Alcala Gurri UP 7.5pp · near-book depth $2.0K → $4.4K · 1s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Max Alcala Gurri; negative values favor Genaro Alberto Olivieri. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMax Alcala Gurri · $137
6hMax Alcala Gurri · $6.1K
24hMax Alcala Gurri · $5.1K

Max Alcala Gurri price VWAP

Volume-weighted Max Alcala Gurri price. Genaro Alberto Olivieri fills are converted to the complementary Max Alcala Gurri probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h64.8¢▲ above by 35.2pp
VWAP 7d64.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Max Alcala Gurri price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$14.6K
90¢
$1.9K
85¢
$40
80¢
$4.7K
75¢
$4.1K
70¢
$5.4K
65¢
$1.1K
60¢
$35.7K
55¢
$21.8K
50¢
$21.1K
45¢
$4.9K
40¢
$4.2K
35¢
$356
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLMax Alcala Gurri$14.6K@ 99.9¢0x1602…fbb0🐋—4 minutes ago
BUYMax Alcala Gurri$12.5K@ 50.3¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—42 minutes ago
BUYMax Alcala Gurri$10.0K@ 58.2¢
Runemup0x75f2…ff6d
🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

kkookkooMax Alcala Gurri$12.5K
BUY VWAP 50.3¢·1 fill
0x076d…8d4cMax Alcala Gurri$12.1K
BUY VWAP 51.5¢·4 fills
RunemupMax Alcala Gurri$10.0K
BUY VWAP 58.2¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.