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Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $67.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $422.2KEvent: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles
61.5¢
Milwaukee Brewers
38.5¢
Baltimore Orioles
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection19Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets80Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution82Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 8 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:60 trades$161.1K tracked8% 🐋source coverage 38%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 20 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Milwaukee Brewers · $19.1K net·8 wallets·$23.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYBaltimore Orioles$15.5K@ 38¢·xifutloong3

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Baltimore Orioles pressure: $30.2K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$30.2K
6h
−$27.8K
tracked
$161.1K

8 verified profitable wallets: Milwaukee Brewers · $19.1K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +2.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 20 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Baltimore Orioles or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-26 20:05 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers" if the Milwaukee Brewers win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Milwaukee Brewers and Baltimore Orioles, scheduled for September 19 at 4:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers" if the Milwaukee Brewers win the game. This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Milwaukee Brewers@ 60.0¢45m ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp
ACCUMULATIONBUY Baltimore Orioles@ 39.0¢48m ago
15m INVALIDATED -4.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Baltimore Orioles@ 39.0¢48m ago
15m INVALIDATED -4.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Baltimore Orioles@ 50.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h INVALIDATED -10.0pp
Latest book event: Milwaukee Brewers UP 5.0pp · near-book depth $120 → $8.8K · 15s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Milwaukee Brewers; negative values favor Baltimore Orioles. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hBaltimore Orioles · $30.2K
6hBaltimore Orioles · $27.8K
24hBaltimore Orioles · $51.6K

Milwaukee Brewers price VWAP

Volume-weighted Milwaukee Brewers price. Baltimore Orioles fills are converted to the complementary Milwaukee Brewers probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current61.5¢
VWAP 24h60.1¢▲ above by 1.4pp
VWAP 7d60.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Milwaukee Brewers price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$1.3K
60¢
← now
$110.8K
55¢
$18.6K
50¢
$29.2K
45¢
$1.3K
40¢
$1
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYBaltimore Orioles$12.6K@ 42.0¢
Mr.Ape0x26f8…3452
🐋—27 minutes ago
BUYBaltimore Orioles$15.0K@ 38.0¢
xifutloong30x2dc1…b33c
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYBaltimore Orioles$15.5K@ 38.0¢
xifutloong30x2dc1…b33c
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYBaltimore Orioles$15.4K@ 38.0¢
xifutloong30x2dc1…b33c
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYBaltimore Orioles$14.0K@ 46.0¢
SDTrading0x16bb…8492
🐋—about 9 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

xifutloong3Baltimore Orioles$50.0K
BUY VWAP 38.0¢·4 fills
SDTradingBaltimore Orioles$18.1K
BUY VWAP 46.0¢·2 fills
0x1610…ae49Milwaukee Brewers$15.5K
BUY VWAP 62.0¢·6 fills
Mr.ApeBaltimore Orioles$12.6K
BUY VWAP 42.0¢·1 fill
printmonMilwaukee Brewers$11.4K
BUY VWAP 63.0¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.