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Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays

Sports→Settlement: Tampa Bay RaysLiquidity: $548.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $383.4KEvent: Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays
0.0¢
Boston Red Sox payout
100.0¢
Tampa Bay Rays payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:96 trades$221.6K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 58%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 80 min agoofficial metadata 38 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Tampa Bay Rays · $20.8K net·9 wallets·$29.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLTampa Bay Rays$62.2K@ 100¢·kkookkoo

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Tampa Bay Rays. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-26 20:10 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Boston Red Sox and Tampa Bay Rays, scheduled for September 19 at 4:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox win the game. This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Tampa Bay Rays3h ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Tampa Bay Rays3h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Tampa Bay Rays@ 61.0¢3h ago
15m STALLED +1.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
MARKET SWEEPBUY Tampa Bay Rays@ 61.0¢3h ago
15m STALLED +1.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Tampa Bay Rays UP 5.0pp · near-book depth $1.7K → $150 · 6s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Boston Red Sox; negative values favor Tampa Bay Rays. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hBoston Red Sox · $14.3K
6hBoston Red Sox · $20.9K
24hBoston Red Sox · $76

Boston Red Sox price VWAP

Volume-weighted Boston Red Sox price. Tampa Bay Rays fills are converted to the complementary Boston Red Sox probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h24.8¢▼ below by 24.8pp
VWAP 7d24.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Boston Red Sox price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$8.2K
50¢
$4.1K
45¢
$13.0K
40¢
$89.0K
35¢
$9.4K
30¢
$2.9K
25¢
$438
20¢
$333
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$94.2K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLTampa Bay Rays$11.0K@ 99.9¢
devilbanker0xef1b…8697
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLTampa Bay Rays$11.1K@ 99.9¢
xbcasd0xb340…1ad1
🐋—about 2 hours ago
SELLTampa Bay Rays$62.2K@ 99.9¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYTampa Bay Rays$37.0K@ 59.4¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

kkookkooTampa Bay Rays$37.0K
BUY VWAP 59.4¢·1 fill
quavooTampa Bay Rays$12.6K
BUY VWAP 56.6¢·6 fills
0x1610…ae49Tampa Bay Rays$10.2K
BUY VWAP 58.4¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.