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Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds

Sports→Settlement: Chicago CubsLiquidity: $70.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $273.5KEvent: Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds
100.0¢
Chicago Cubs payout
0.0¢
Cincinnati Reds payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLChicago Cubs$28.9K@ 100¢·kkookkoo

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Chicago Cubs. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-26 22:40 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Chicago Cubs" if the Chicago Cubs win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Chicago Cubs and Cincinnati Reds, scheduled for September 19 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Chicago Cubs" if the Chicago Cubs win the game. This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Chicago Cubs17d ago
Outcome checks pending
MARKET SWEEPBUY Chicago Cubs@ 60.0¢17d ago
15m CONFIRMED +7.0pp1h INVALIDATED -5.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Chicago Cubs; negative values favor Cincinnati Reds. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hCincinnati Reds · $30.1K
6hChicago Cubs · $26.7K
24hChicago Cubs · $34.8K

Chicago Cubs price VWAP

Volume-weighted Chicago Cubs price. Cincinnati Reds fills are converted to the complementary Chicago Cubs probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h71.3¢▲ above by 28.7pp
VWAP 7d71.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Chicago Cubs price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$30.2K
90¢
$1.6K
85¢
$1.8K
80¢
$1
75¢
$8.4K
70¢
$4.8K
65¢
$3.5K
60¢
$1.1K
55¢
$65.8K
50¢
$2.4K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLChicago Cubs$28.9K@ 99.9¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—17 days ago
BUYChicago Cubs$13.8K@ 58.9¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—17 days ago
BUYChicago Cubs$11.4K@ 57.0¢
thatguythatguy0x3170…c6a0
🐋—17 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.