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Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner

Sports→Settlement: Natus VincereLiquidity: $796.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.2MEvent: Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage
0.0¢
Team Falcons payout
100.0¢
Natus Vincere payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:516 trades$446.5K trackedsource coverage 37%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 43 min agoofficial metadata 28 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Team Falcons · $55.5K net·29 wallets·$251.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLNatus Vincere$21.7K@ 100¢·cerebralhole

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Natus Vincere. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-07 01:05 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win Map 2 against Natus Vincere.

•This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win Map 2 against Team Falcons.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between Team Falcons and Natus Vincere in the ESL Pro League Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win Map 2 against Natus Vincere. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win Map 2 against Team Falcons. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 20, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 6, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
Diabolical-Prize2 linked markets · $490.6K gross
Lakersfan1112 linked markets · $363.1K gross
0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415f3 linked markets · $160.4K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Team Falcons1h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Team Falcons@ 84.0¢1h ago
15m INVALIDATED -72.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASEBUY Team Falcons2h ago
Outcome checks pending
MARKET SWEEPBUY Team Falcons@ 81.0¢2h ago
15m CONFIRMED +6.0pp1h CONFIRMED +11.0pp
Latest book event: Team Falcons DOWN 5.0pp · near-book depth $1.6K → $1.1K · 1s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Team Falcons; negative values favor Natus Vincere. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTeam Falcons · $70.4K
6hTeam Falcons · $164.7K
24hTeam Falcons · $165.7K

Team Falcons price VWAP

Volume-weighted Team Falcons price. Natus Vincere fills are converted to the complementary Team Falcons probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h52.0¢▼ below by 52.0pp
VWAP 7d52.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Team Falcons price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$24.1K
90¢
$15.1K
85¢
$30.2K
80¢
$25.2K
75¢
$22.7K
70¢
$30.4K
65¢
$53.5K
60¢
$44.5K
55¢
$13.7K
50¢
$14.7K
45¢
$7.6K
40¢
$15.5K
35¢
$23.5K
30¢
$2.8K
25¢
$9.8K
20¢
$10.9K
15¢
$14.1K
10¢
$13.9K
5¢
$7.5K
0¢
← now
$66.8K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLNatus Vincere$21.7K@ 99.9¢
cerebralhole0x5f3c…0cf1
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYTeam Falcons$20.0K@ 95.1¢0x7714…b814🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415fTeam Falcons$54.2K
BUY VWAP 61.5¢·24 fills
0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415fNatus Vincere$38.1K
BUY VWAP 49.0¢·17 fills
0x7714…b814Team Falcons$20.0K
BUY VWAP 95.1¢·2 fills
TommyLeePeecaTeam Falcons$17.2K
BUY VWAP 80.4¢·10 fills
testBruno2Team Falcons$16.1K
BUY VWAP 80.6¢·7 fills
wizzair71Team Falcons$14.3K
BUY VWAP 67.4¢·3 fills
oneheadedtigerTeam Falcons$11.2K
BUY VWAP 67.5¢·11 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.