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Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $25.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $294.4KEvent: Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
9.5¢
Kansas City Royals
90.5¢
Pittsburgh Pirates
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection19Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets70Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution78Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority63Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 87%💡 11 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:128 trades$148.0K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 48%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 2 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Pittsburgh Pirates · $43.6K net·11 wallets·$62.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYPittsburgh Pirates$17.1K@ 51¢·0x5e94…5ba1

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Pittsburgh Pirates SETUP
What the tape says

Pittsburgh Pirates pressure: $27.8K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$27.8K
6h
−$76.9K
tracked
$148.0K

11 verified profitable wallets: Pittsburgh Pirates · $43.6K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 87% · priority 63

Since latest market sweep: +0.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Pittsburgh Pirates or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-27 17:35 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals" if the Kansas City Royals win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pittsburgh Pirates win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Kansas City Royals and Pittsburgh Pirates, scheduled for September 20 at 1:35PM ET: This market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals" if the Kansas City Royals win the game. This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pittsburgh Pirates win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET SWEEPBUY Pittsburgh Pirates@ 91.0¢3m ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Pittsburgh Pirates@ 52.0¢5h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
Latest book event: Pittsburgh Pirates UP 8.5pp · near-book depth $8.4K → $3.6K · 104s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Kansas City Royals; negative values favor Pittsburgh Pirates. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hPittsburgh Pirates · $27.8K
6hPittsburgh Pirates · $76.9K
24hPittsburgh Pirates · $83.8K

Kansas City Royals price VWAP

Volume-weighted Kansas City Royals price. Pittsburgh Pirates fills are converted to the complementary Kansas City Royals probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current9.5¢
VWAP 24h43.4¢▼ below by 33.9pp
VWAP 7d43.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Kansas City Royals price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$142
70¢
$21.5K
65¢
$5
60¢
$9.0K
55¢
$14.0K
50¢
$13.4K
45¢
$33.1K
40¢
$2.3K
35¢
$0
30¢
$2
25¢
$12.4K
20¢
$10.0K
15¢
$2.1K
10¢
$18.3K
5¢
← now
$11.7K
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYPittsburgh Pirates$12.9K@ 26.4¢
Kev690x1250…8f99
🐋—20 minutes ago
BUYPittsburgh Pirates$17.1K@ 51.0¢0x5e94…5ba1🐋—about 6 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

HomeRunHazardPittsburgh Pirates$17.9K
BUY VWAP 69.6¢·5 fills
0x5e94…5ba1Pittsburgh Pirates$17.1K
BUY VWAP 51.0¢·1 fill
dabossrealmanPittsburgh Pirates$14.5K
BUY VWAP 57.8¢·3 fills
Kev69Pittsburgh Pirates$12.9K
BUY VWAP 26.4¢·1 fill
KatalunygeaxvhjPittsburgh Pirates$12.9K
BUY VWAP 34.3¢·6 fills
curiePittsburgh Pirates$12.4K
BUY VWAP 83.2¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.