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Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 43 minutesLiquidity: $23.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $59.1KEvent: Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians
20.5¢
Over
79.5¢
Under
5.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection8Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets88Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution43Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:20 trades$22.5K tracked5% 🐋source coverage 38%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 18 min agoofficial metadata 12 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Under · $17.2K net·3 wallets(1🐋)·$19.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYUnder$12.0K@ 58¢·ferrariChampions2026

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Under pressure: $1.8K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$1.8K
6h
−$20.2K
tracked
$22.5K

3 verified profitable wallets: Under · $17.2K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
5.0¢displayed spread

Expensive before size: wait for tighter quotes or reduce size.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 18 minutes old.
  • •Spread is 5.0¢ before size-dependent slippage.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Under or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-16 17:10 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Over" if the Chicago White Sox and Cleveland Guardians combine to score 8 or more runs in this game.

•If the combined total is less than 8, this market will resolve to "Under".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Chicago White Sox and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for September 16 at 1:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Chicago White Sox and Cleveland Guardians combine to score 8 or more runs in this game. If the combined total is less than 8, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
HomeRunHazard3 linked markets · $35.2K gross
ferrariChampions20263 linked markets · $21.4K gross
quavoo2 linked markets · $11.3K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Under DOWN 4.5pp · near-book depth $39 → $42 · 1s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Over; negative values favor Under. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hUnder · $1.8K
6hUnder · $20.2K
24hUnder · $20.2K

Over price VWAP

Volume-weighted Over price. Under fills are converted to the complementary Over probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current20.5¢
VWAP 24h42.7¢▼ below by 22.2pp
VWAP 7d42.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Over price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$5.6K
40¢
$15.7K
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$1.1K
20¢
← now
$122
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYUnder$12.0K@ 58.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

ferrariChampions2026Under$15.1K
BUY VWAP 57.6¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.