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Cleveland Guardians vs. Boston Red Sox

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $56.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $265.1KEvent: Cleveland Guardians vs. Boston Red Sox
67.5¢
Cleveland Guardians
32.5¢
Boston Red Sox
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection34Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets45Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution74Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority59Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 76%💡 12 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:133 trades$118.3K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 45%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 14 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Cleveland Guardians · $11.9K net·12 wallets·$26.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYCleveland Guardians$13.2K@ 46¢·SDTrading

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Cleveland Guardians pressure: $39.8K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$39.8K
6h
+$73.3K
tracked
$118.3K

12 verified profitable wallets: Cleveland Guardians · $11.9K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 76% · priority 59

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 14 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Cleveland Guardians or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-29 22:45 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Cleveland Guardians and Boston Red Sox, scheduled for September 22 at 6:45PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Cleveland Guardians UP 6.0pp · near-book depth $310 → $20.1K · 88s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Cleveland Guardians; negative values favor Boston Red Sox. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hCleveland Guardians · $39.8K
6hCleveland Guardians · $73.3K
24hCleveland Guardians · $71.1K

Cleveland Guardians price VWAP

Volume-weighted Cleveland Guardians price. Boston Red Sox fills are converted to the complementary Cleveland Guardians probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current67.5¢
VWAP 24h55.0¢▲ above by 12.5pp
VWAP 7d55.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Cleveland Guardians price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$12
75¢
$11.8K
70¢
$3.6K
65¢
← now
$10.6K
60¢
$18.1K
55¢
$7.0K
50¢
$228
45¢
$62.0K
40¢
$5.0K
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYCleveland Guardians$13.2K@ 46.0¢
SDTrading0x16bb…8492
🐋—about 4 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

SDTradingCleveland Guardians$14.5K
BUY VWAP 46.0¢·2 fills
0xe4c1…7bedCleveland Guardians$10.2K
BUY VWAP 47.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.