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Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $589.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $465.2KEvent: Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals
0.1¢
Chicago White Sox
100.0¢
Kansas City Royals
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection7Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets20Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 11 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:179 trades$165.9K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 38%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 12 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Chicago White Sox · $14.5K net·11 wallets(1🐋)·$71.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYChicago White Sox$15.4K@ 53¢·0x1610…ae49

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Kansas City Royals pressure: $11.3K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$11.3K
6h
−$6.5K
tracked
$165.9K

11 verified profitable wallets: Chicago White Sox · $14.5K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Since latest market sweep: -54.9pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 12 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Kansas City Royals or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-30 23:40 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Chicago White Sox" if the Chicago White Sox win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals" if the Kansas City Royals win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Chicago White Sox and Kansas City Royals, scheduled for September 23 at 7:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Chicago White Sox" if the Chicago White Sox win the game. This market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals" if the Kansas City Royals win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET SWEEPBUY Chicago White Sox@ 55.0¢1h ago
15m INVALIDATED -7.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Chicago White Sox@ 53.0¢5h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
Latest book event: Chicago White Sox DOWN 4.5pp · near-book depth $10 → $5 · 4s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Chicago White Sox; negative values favor Kansas City Royals. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hKansas City Royals · $11.3K
6hKansas City Royals · $6.5K
24hKansas City Royals · $5.3K

Chicago White Sox price VWAP

Volume-weighted Chicago White Sox price. Kansas City Royals fills are converted to the complementary Chicago White Sox probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h43.6¢▼ below by 43.6pp
VWAP 7d43.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Chicago White Sox price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$947
60¢
$24
55¢
$7.2K
50¢
$78.3K
45¢
$31.8K
40¢
$1.5K
35¢
$13.4K
30¢
$0
25¢
$9.4K
20¢
$28
15¢
$20.8K
10¢
$3.9K
5¢
$676
0¢
← now
$655

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYChicago White Sox$15.4K@ 53.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—about 5 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

taylorsversionKansas City Royals$26.1K
BUY VWAP 51.6¢·5 fills
0x1610…ae49Chicago White Sox$25.4K
BUY VWAP 53.0¢·3 fills
HomeRunHazardKansas City Royals$14.6K
BUY VWAP 79.8¢·4 fills
ferrariChampions2026Chicago White Sox$10.9K
BUY VWAP 51.0¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.