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New York Mets vs. Texas Rangers

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $65.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $450.3KEvent: New York Mets vs. Texas Rangers
99.0¢
New York Mets
1.0¢
Texas Rangers
2.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection12Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets7Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution82Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 86%💡 14 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:147 trades$201.1K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 42%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 5 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Texas Rangers · $15.9K net·14 wallets(2🐋)·$79.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYNew York Mets$26.3K@ 51¢·0x3dfb…abaf

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

New York Mets pressure: $22.4K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$22.4K
6h
+$49.5K
tracked
$201.1K

14 verified profitable wallets: Texas Rangers · $15.9K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
2.0¢displayed spread

Workable spread; verify depth and the $10K slippage estimate below.

Data confidence 86% · priority 0

Since latest market sweep: +29.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 29.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from New York Mets or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-01 00:05 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Texas Rangers" if the Texas Rangers win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Mets and Texas Rangers, scheduled for September 23 at 8:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game. This market will resolve to "Texas Rangers" if the Texas Rangers win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY New York Mets1h ago
Outcome checks pending
MARKET SWEEPBUY New York Mets@ 71.0¢2h ago
15m CONFIRMED +4.0pp1h INVALIDATED -17.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY New York Mets@ 52.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -3.0pp1h CONFIRMED +23.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY New York Mets@ 51.0¢4h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
Latest book event: Texas Rangers DOWN 5.0pp · near-book depth $959 → $360 · 99s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor New York Mets; negative values favor Texas Rangers. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hNew York Mets · $22.4K
6hNew York Mets · $49.5K
24hNew York Mets · $45.6K

New York Mets price VWAP

Volume-weighted New York Mets price. Texas Rangers fills are converted to the complementary New York Mets probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.0¢
VWAP 24h59.6¢▲ above by 39.4pp
VWAP 7d59.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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New York Mets price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$13.3K
90¢
$14.3K
85¢
$6
80¢
$5.1K
75¢
$10.2K
70¢
$20.2K
65¢
$7.9K
60¢
$1.6K
55¢
$16.0K
50¢
$70.5K
45¢
$34.9K
40¢
$7.0K
35¢
$0
30¢
$3
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYNew York Mets$14.2K@ 94.6¢
dabossrealman0xc0e4…dd38
🐋—6 minutes ago
BUYNew York Mets$12.8K@ 55.9¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYNew York Mets$26.3K@ 51.0¢0x3dfb…abaf🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYNew York Mets$20.1K@ 50.0¢0x3dfb…abaf🐋—about 4 hours ago
BUYTexas Rangers$17.5K@ 51.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—about 4 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x3dfb…abafNew York Mets$46.5K
BUY VWAP 50.6¢·2 fills
dabossrealmanNew York Mets$18.4K
BUY VWAP 79.0¢·3 fills
0x1610…ae49Texas Rangers$17.5K
BUY VWAP 51.0¢·1 fill
kkookkooNew York Mets$13.6K
BUY VWAP 55.5¢·2 fills
HomeRunHazardNew York Mets$11.3K
BUY VWAP 73.6¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.