PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Ethereum Up or Down on September 19?

● quote just now
Crypto→Closes: 6 minutesLiquidity: $25.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $107.3KEvent: Ethereum Up or Down on September 19?
100.0¢
Up
0.1¢
Down
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly1Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets100Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution84Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 69%💡 4 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:20 trades$15.4K trackedsource coverage 14%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 15 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Up · $4.8K net·4 wallets·$4.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYUp$4.7K@ 94¢·easyclap

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$5
6h
+$7.9K
tracked
$15.4K

4 verified profitable wallets: Up · $4.8K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 69% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 15 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-19 16:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Sep 18 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Sep 19 '26 12:00 ET candle.

•This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Sep 18 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Sep 19 '26 12:00 ET candle.

Read full resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Sep 18 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Sep 19 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Sep 18 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Sep 19 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Up; negative values favor Down. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hUp · $5
6hUp · $7.9K
24hUp · $15.4K

Up price VWAP

Volume-weighted Up price. Down fills are converted to the complementary Up probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h96.5¢▲ above by 3.4pp
VWAP 7d96.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Up price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$10.7K
90¢
$4.7K
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
5.8¢$632.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?
5.5¢$392.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?
3.8¢$339.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September?
0.9¢$301.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?
51.5¢$133.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
4.5¢$122.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?
84.5¢$98.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
28.5¢$92.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.