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Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Kalmychata - Game 2 Winner

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $69.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $125.1KEvent: Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Kalmychata (BO3) - European Pro League Group B
100.0¢
Inner Circle
0.1¢
Kalmychata
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets64Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution94Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 56%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:23 trades$30.5K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 24%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 78 min agoofficial metadata 41s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Kalmychata · $15.5K net·3 wallets(1🐋)·$24.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLInner Circle$12.5K@ 100¢·0xf201…527e

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$17.5K
tracked
$30.5K

3 verified profitable wallets: Kalmychata · $15.5K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 56% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 78 minutes old.
  • •Less than 2h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-18 21:10 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.dotabuff.com
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Inner Circle" if Inner Circle win Game 2 against Kalmychata.

•This market will resolve to "Kalmychata" if Kalmychata win Game 2 against Inner Circle.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Inner Circle and Kalmychata in the European Pro League Group B, initially scheduled for September 18, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Inner Circle" if Inner Circle win Game 2 against Kalmychata. This market will resolve to "Kalmychata" if Kalmychata win Game 2 against Inner Circle. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 2, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 18, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
sashasasha52 linked markets · $5.5K gross
mqww2 linked markets · $4.2K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Inner Circle UP 4.0pp · near-book depth $4.5K → $481 · 33s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Inner Circle; negative values favor Kalmychata. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hInner Circle · $0
6hKalmychata · $17.5K
24hKalmychata · $17.5K

Inner Circle price VWAP

Volume-weighted Inner Circle price. Kalmychata fills are converted to the complementary Inner Circle probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h89.3¢▲ above by 10.7pp
VWAP 7d89.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Inner Circle price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$24.5K
90¢
$0
85¢
$1
80¢
$0
75¢
$435
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$373
45¢
$0
40¢
$5.1K
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLInner Circle$12.5K@ 99.9¢0xf201…527e🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.