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Davis Cup: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Arthur Rinderknech

● quote 70 min ago
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $21.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $108.0KEvent: Davis Cup: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Arthur Rinderknech
99.5¢
Felix Auger-Aliassime
0.5¢
Arthur Rinderknech
0.9¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets66Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution78Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 58%💡 4 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:25 trades$36.5K trackedsource coverage 34%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 321 min agoofficial metadata just now
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Felix Auger-Aliassime · $7.2K net·4 wallets·$10.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYArthur Rinderknech$6.8K@ 52¢·0x0d07…d246

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$2.5K
tracked
$36.5K

4 verified profitable wallets: Felix Auger-Aliassime · $7.2K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.9¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 58% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 70 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 321 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-26 19:10 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.daviscup.com/
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Felix Auger-Aliassime and Arthur Rinderknech in the Davis Cup, originally scheduled for September 19 at 3:10PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Felix Auger-Aliassime' if Felix Auger-Aliassime advances against Arthur Rinderknech. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Rinderknech' if Arthur Rinderknech advances against Felix Auger-Aliassime. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Felix Auger-Aliassime UP 7.7pp · near-book depth $15 → $2 · 4s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Felix Auger-Aliassime; negative values favor Arthur Rinderknech. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hFelix Auger-Aliassime · $0
6hArthur Rinderknech · $2.5K
24hArthur Rinderknech · $4.6K

Felix Auger-Aliassime price VWAP

Volume-weighted Felix Auger-Aliassime price. Arthur Rinderknech fills are converted to the complementary Felix Auger-Aliassime probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.5¢
VWAP 24h57.6¢▲ above by 41.9pp
VWAP 7d57.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Felix Auger-Aliassime price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$2.5K
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$2.6K
75¢
$1.9K
70¢
$2.9K
65¢
$0
60¢
$20
55¢
$2
50¢
$14.5K
45¢
$6.8K
40¢
$4.6K
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$730
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.