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Miami Marlins vs. San Diego Padres

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $37.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $213.0KEvent: Miami Marlins vs. San Diego Padres
35.0¢
Miami Marlins
65.0¢
San Diego Padres
2.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection13Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets49Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution82Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority55Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 76%💡 12 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:73 trades$90.2K trackedsource coverage 42%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 10 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Miami Marlins · $29.5K net·12 wallets·$59.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMiami Marlins$9.8K@ 42¢·0x1610…ae49

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Miami Marlins SETUP
What the tape says

Miami Marlins pressure: $11.6K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$11.6K
6h
+$33.8K
tracked
$90.2K

12 verified profitable wallets: Miami Marlins · $29.5K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
2.0¢displayed spread

Workable spread; verify depth and the $10K slippage estimate below.

Data confidence 76% · priority 55

Since latest market sweep: -17.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Miami Marlins or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-27 00:40 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Miami Marlins" if the Miami Marlins win the game.

•This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Miami Marlins and San Diego Padres, scheduled for September 19 at 8:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Miami Marlins" if the Miami Marlins win the game. This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET SWEEPBUY Miami Marlins@ 53.0¢37m ago
15m INVALIDATED -14.0pp
Latest book event: San Diego Padres DOWN 6.0pp · near-book depth $203 → $33.4K · 46s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Miami Marlins; negative values favor San Diego Padres. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMiami Marlins · $11.6K
6hMiami Marlins · $33.8K
24hMiami Marlins · $33.8K

Miami Marlins price VWAP

Volume-weighted Miami Marlins price. San Diego Padres fills are converted to the complementary Miami Marlins probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current35.0¢
VWAP 24h53.9¢▼ below by 18.9pp
VWAP 7d53.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Miami Marlins price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$1.8K
75¢
$0
70¢
$2.7K
65¢
$26.1K
60¢
$8.7K
55¢
$3
50¢
$14.7K
45¢
$8.1K
40¢
$16.6K
35¢
← now
$6.0K
30¢
$5.5K
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 65¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

HomeRunHazardMiami Marlins$22.6K
BUY VWAP 59.0¢·5 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.