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Buenos Aires 2: Santiago Rodriguez Taverna vs Nicolas Bruna

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $15.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $5.1KEvent: Buenos Aires 2: Santiago Rodriguez Taverna vs Nicolas Bruna
88.5¢
Santiago Rodriguez Taverna
11.5¢
Nicolas Bruna
3.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets37Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution61Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:17 trades$29.6K trackedsource coverage 100%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 66 min agoofficial metadata 14 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Santiago Rodriguez Taverna · $38 net·3 wallets·$101 gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYSantiago Rodriguez Taverna$7.7K@ 86¢·Jan777

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$29.5K
tracked
$29.6K

3 verified profitable wallets: Santiago Rodriguez Taverna · $38 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
3.0¢displayed spread

Workable spread; verify depth and the $10K slippage estimate below.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 66 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-27 15:20 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Santiago Rodriguez Taverna and Nicolas Bruna in the Buenos Aires 2, Argentina, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 11:20AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Santiago Rodriguez Taverna' if Santiago Rodriguez Taverna advances against Nicolas Bruna. This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Bruna' if Nicolas Bruna advances against Santiago Rodriguez Taverna. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Santiago Rodriguez Taverna DOWN 2.5pp · near-book depth $29.4K → $4.3K · 75s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Santiago Rodriguez Taverna; negative values favor Nicolas Bruna. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hSantiago Rodriguez Taverna · $0
6hSantiago Rodriguez Taverna · $29.5K
24hSantiago Rodriguez Taverna · $29.5K

Santiago Rodriguez Taverna price VWAP

Volume-weighted Santiago Rodriguez Taverna price. Nicolas Bruna fills are converted to the complementary Santiago Rodriguez Taverna probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current88.5¢
VWAP 24h86.3¢▲ above by 2.2pp
VWAP 7d86.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Santiago Rodriguez Taverna price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
← now
$29.2K
80¢
$394
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 85¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Jan777Santiago Rodriguez Taverna$29.2K
BUY VWAP 86.4¢·6 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.