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Spread: New York Liberty (-14.5)

● quote 231 min ago
Sports→Closes: about 1 hourLiquidity: $47.3KOfficial 24h Vol: —Event: New York Liberty vs. Toronto Tempo
53.5¢
New York Liberty
46.5¢
Toronto Tempo
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly5Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets100Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution84Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 4 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:19 trades$28.6K tracked5% 🐋source coverage unavailableBUY/SELL known 100%
tape 50 min agoofficial metadata 12 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Toronto Tempo · $8.9K net·4 wallets·$8.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYNew York Liberty$17.5K@ 53¢·winwin518168

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$43
6h
+$8.4K
tracked
$28.6K

4 verified profitable wallets: Toronto Tempo · $8.9K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Executable quote is 231 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 50 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-20 19:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wnba.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "New York Liberty" if the New York Liberty win the game by 15 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Toronto Tempo". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Toronto Tempo".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for September 20 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Liberty" if the New York Liberty win the game by 15 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Toronto Tempo". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Toronto Tempo". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor New York Liberty; negative values favor Toronto Tempo. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hToronto Tempo · $43
6hNew York Liberty · $8.4K
24hNew York Liberty · $8.4K

New York Liberty price VWAP

Volume-weighted New York Liberty price. Toronto Tempo fills are converted to the complementary New York Liberty probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current53.5¢
VWAP 24h53.6¢▼ below by 0.1pp
VWAP 7d53.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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New York Liberty price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$9.1K
50¢
← now
$19.5K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYNew York Liberty$17.5K@ 52.9¢
winwin5181680x6820…1c19
🐋—about 5 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

winwin518168New York Liberty$17.5K
BUY VWAP 52.9¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.