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San Diego 2: Tristan Boyer vs Spencer Johnson

Sports→Settlement: Tristan BoyerLiquidity: $81.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $165.5KEvent: San Diego 2: Tristan Boyer vs Spencer Johnson
100.0¢
Tristan Boyer payout
0.0¢
Spencer Johnson payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:16 trades$36.2K trackedsource coverage 22%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 109 min agoofficial metadata 68 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Spencer Johnson · $11.8K net·3 wallets·$26.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTristan Boyer$7.3K@ 94¢·Flaznorp

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Tristan Boyer. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-29 21:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Tristan Boyer and Spencer Johnson in the San Diego 2, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tristan Boyer' if Tristan Boyer advances against Spencer Johnson. This market will resolve to 'Spencer Johnson' if Spencer Johnson advances against Tristan Boyer. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Spencer Johnson@ 5.0¢2h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Tristan Boyer; negative values favor Spencer Johnson. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTristan Boyer · $5.9K
6hSpencer Johnson · $15.6K
24hSpencer Johnson · $15.6K

Tristan Boyer price VWAP

Volume-weighted Tristan Boyer price. Spencer Johnson fills are converted to the complementary Tristan Boyer probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h79.0¢▲ above by 21.0pp
VWAP 7d79.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Tristan Boyer price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$148
90¢
$8.6K
85¢
$5.2K
80¢
$0
75¢
$12.4K
70¢
$5.5K
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$2.9K
45¢
$1.5K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 75¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x1610…ae49Spencer Johnson$19.2K
BUY VWAP 19.6¢·5 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.