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Jingshan: Alexandra Shubladze vs Rina Saigo

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $138.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $319.9KEvent: Jingshan: Alexandra Shubladze vs Rina Saigo
100.0¢
Alexandra Shubladze
0.1¢
Rina Saigo
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection7Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets55Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 73%💡 8 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:90 trades$99.3K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 32%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 27 min agoofficial metadata 11s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Alexandra Shubladze · $40.4K net·8 wallets(1🐋)·$74.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYAlexandra Shubladze$18.4K@ 71¢·0x1610…ae49

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Alexandra Shubladze pressure: $6.4K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$6.4K
6h
+$37.5K
tracked
$99.3K

8 verified profitable wallets: Alexandra Shubladze · $40.4K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 73% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +27.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 27 minutes old.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 27.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Alexandra Shubladze or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-06 03:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Alexandra Shubladze and Rina Saigo in the Jingshan, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexandra Shubladze' if Alexandra Shubladze advances against Rina Saigo. This market will resolve to 'Rina Saigo' if Rina Saigo advances against Alexandra Shubladze. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Alexandra Shubladze2h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Alexandra Shubladze@ 73.0¢2h ago
15m CONFIRMED +9.0pp1h CONFIRMED +18.0pp
Latest book event: Rina Saigo DOWN 3.0pp · near-book depth $8.7K → $3.6K · 23s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Alexandra Shubladze; negative values favor Rina Saigo. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAlexandra Shubladze · $6.4K
6hAlexandra Shubladze · $37.5K
24hAlexandra Shubladze · $37.5K

Alexandra Shubladze price VWAP

Volume-weighted Alexandra Shubladze price. Rina Saigo fills are converted to the complementary Alexandra Shubladze probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h85.2¢▲ above by 14.8pp
VWAP 7d85.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Alexandra Shubladze price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$21.5K
90¢
$23.7K
85¢
$13.0K
80¢
$16.2K
75¢
$239
70¢
$18.5K
65¢
$6.1K
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 90¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYAlexandra Shubladze$18.4K@ 71.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYAlexandra Shubladze$10.7K@ 80.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x1610…ae49Alexandra Shubladze$29.1K
BUY VWAP 74.1¢·2 fills
0x1610…ae49Rina Saigo$16.6K
BUY VWAP 13.0¢·7 fills
UpTheBluesAlexandra Shubladze$13.6K
BUY VWAP 90.5¢·14 fills
HomeRunHazardAlexandra Shubladze$11.2K
BUY VWAP 92.4¢·4 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.