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Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Jaime Faria

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $180.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $147.8KEvent: Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Jaime Faria
61.5¢
Adolfo Vallejo
38.5¢
Jaime Faria
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection31Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets23Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority57Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 85%💡 4 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:65 trades$59.7K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 39%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 5 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Adolfo Vallejo · $3.8K net·4 wallets·$9.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYJaime Faria$17.9K@ 62¢·insidiousidiot

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Adolfo Vallejo SETUP
What the tape says

Adolfo Vallejo pressure: $17.6K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$17.6K
6h
−$3.7K
tracked
$59.7K

4 verified profitable wallets: Adolfo Vallejo · $3.8K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 85% · priority 57

Since latest large flow: -20.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Adolfo Vallejo or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-06 05:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Adolfo Vallejo and Jaime Faria in the Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adolfo Vallejo' if Adolfo Vallejo advances against Jaime Faria. This market will resolve to 'Jaime Faria' if Jaime Faria advances against Adolfo Vallejo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Jaime Faria@ 59.0¢32m ago
15m INVALIDATED -25.0pp
Latest book event: Jaime Faria DOWN 2.5pp · near-book depth $51.1K → $28.7K · 4s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Adolfo Vallejo; negative values favor Jaime Faria. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAdolfo Vallejo · $17.6K
6hJaime Faria · $3.7K
24hJaime Faria · $3.7K

Adolfo Vallejo price VWAP

Volume-weighted Adolfo Vallejo price. Jaime Faria fills are converted to the complementary Adolfo Vallejo probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current61.5¢
VWAP 24h42.9¢▲ above by 18.6pp
VWAP 7d42.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Adolfo Vallejo price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$8.5K
60¢
← now
$4.4K
55¢
$0
50¢
$2.3K
45¢
$178
40¢
$1.5K
35¢
$39.0K
30¢
$3.5K
25¢
$250
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYJaime Faria$17.9K@ 62.1¢
insidiousidiot0xd88a…a7e4
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

insidiousidiotJaime Faria$17.9K
BUY VWAP 62.1¢·1 fill
KkunnAdolfo Vallejo$10.7K
BUY VWAP 35.7¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.