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Texas A&M vs. Missouri

● quote just now
Sports→American FootballCloses: 1 minuteLiquidity: $490.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $455.9KEvent: Texas A&M vs. Missouri
35.5¢
Texas A&M
64.5¢
Missouri
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly94Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection1Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets100Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority67Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 89%💡 6 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:28 trades$253.6K tracked11% 🐋source coverage 56%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 3 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Missouri · $194.6K net·6 wallets(2🐋)·$194.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMissouri$121.6K@ 62¢·primm

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Missouri SETUP
What the tape says

Missouri pressure: $3.4K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$3.4K
6h
−$164.0K
tracked
$253.6K

6 verified profitable wallets: Missouri · $194.6K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 89% · priority 67

Since latest liquidity absorption: +2.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Less than 1h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Missouri or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Texas A&M" if Texas A&M win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Missouri" if Missouri win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game between Texas A&M and Missouri, scheduled for October 10 at 1:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Texas A&M" if Texas A&M win the game. This market will resolve to "Missouri" if Missouri win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
primm2 linked markets · $127.0K gross
maz262 linked markets · $10.4K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LIQUIDITY ABSORPTIONBUY Missouri@ 63.0¢1h ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp1h STALLED +1.0pp
WHALE FOLLOW THROUGHBUY Missouri@ 63.0¢1h ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp1h STALLED +1.0pp
POSITION CHANGEBUY Texas A&M@ 38.0¢1h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h INVALIDATED -3.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Missouri@ 63.0¢1h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED +0.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Texas A&M; negative values favor Missouri. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMissouri · $3.4K
6hMissouri · $164.0K
24hMissouri · $168.0K

Texas A&M price VWAP

Volume-weighted Texas A&M price. Missouri fills are converted to the complementary Texas A&M probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current35.5¢
VWAP 24h37.9¢▼ below by 2.4pp
VWAP 7d37.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Texas A&M price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
← now
$253.6K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYMissouri$121.6K@ 62.0¢
primm0xd38b…5029
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYTexas A&M$40.9K@ 38.0¢
Sassy-Bucket0x4bff…fc26
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYMissouri$64.3K@ 62.0¢
Kch-Temp0x9243…658e
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

primmMissouri$121.6K
BUY VWAP 62.0¢·1 fill
Kch-TempMissouri$64.3K
BUY VWAP 62.0¢·1 fill
Sassy-BucketTexas A&M$40.9K
BUY VWAP 38.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.