Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation
No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.
No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.
Expensive before size: wait for tighter quotes or reduce size.
Data confidence 75% · priority 0
Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.
Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.
Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis
•This market will settle to Yes if Braelon Allen records the first touchdown for New York Jets in the New York Jets vs Chicago Bears professional football game scheduled for October 4. Overtime is included if played. If the first touchdown is a passing touchdown, only the player credited with the receiving touchdown will settle as the First Touchdown Scorer. The player credited with the passing touchdown will settle to No. If the player is inactive or does not play, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. All statistics are based on the official NFL game book as published on NFL.com.
This market will settle to Yes if Braelon Allen records the first touchdown for New York Jets in the New York Jets vs Chicago Bears professional football game scheduled for October 4. Overtime is included if played. If the first touchdown is a passing touchdown, only the player credited with the receiving touchdown will settle as the First Touchdown Scorer. The player credited with the passing touchdown will settle to No. If the player is inactive or does not play, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. All statistics are based on the official NFL game book as published on NFL.com.
Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible
Market Analytics
Signed Order Flow
YES price VWAP
Largest holders
YES price Volume Profile · tracked 30d
VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC
Observed net position building
Related Markets · same event first, then category
Observed whale buys · 7d
Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome
Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.