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Counter-Strike: megoshort vs eternal premium (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs

● quote 14s ago
Sports→Closes: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $153.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $118.3KEvent: Counter-Strike: megoshort vs eternal premium (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs
0.1¢
megoshort
100.0¢
eternal premium
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection6Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets66Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 55%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:41 trades$21.4K trackedsource coverage 18%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 52 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:megoshort · $82 net·3 wallets·$124 gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLeternal premium$6.0K@ 100¢·5e46h

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

megoshort pressure: $1.2K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$1.2K
6h
+$12.0K
tracked
$21.4K

3 verified profitable wallets: megoshort · $82 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 55% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 52 minutes old.
  • •Less than 2h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from megoshort or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-30 19:55 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "megoshort" if megoshort win the match against eternal premium.

•This market will resolve to "eternal premium" if eternal premium win the match against megoshort.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket round 2 match between megoshort and eternal premium in the CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 30, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "megoshort" if megoshort win the match against eternal premium. This market will resolve to "eternal premium" if eternal premium win the match against megoshort. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 14, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 30, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: eternal premium DOWN 6.5pp · near-book depth $56 → $17 · 6s
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor megoshort; negative values favor eternal premium. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hmegoshort · $1.2K
6hmegoshort · $12.0K
24hmegoshort · $12.0K

megoshort price VWAP

Volume-weighted megoshort price. eternal premium fills are converted to the complementary megoshort probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h19.3¢▼ below by 19.2pp
VWAP 7d19.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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megoshort price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$2
70¢
$510
65¢
$875
60¢
$98
55¢
$0
50¢
$529
45¢
$2.1K
40¢
$2.3K
35¢
$9
30¢
$2.3K
25¢
$21
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$1.7K
0¢
← now
$11.0K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.