PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

China Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Jakub Mensik

Sports→Settlement: Francisco CerundoloLiquidity: $208.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $435.8KEvent: China Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Jakub Mensik
100.0¢
Francisco Cerundolo payout
0.0¢
Jakub Mensik payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:93 trades$176.5K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 41%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 314 min agoofficial metadata 287 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Francisco Cerundolo · $13.4K net·8 wallets·$39.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYJakub Mensik$16.9K@ 39¢·kkookkoo

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Francisco Cerundolo. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-10 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Francisco Cerundolo and Jakub Mensik in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 2, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Francisco Cerundolo' if Francisco Cerundolo advances against Jakub Mensik. This market will resolve to 'Jakub Mensik' if Jakub Mensik advances against Francisco Cerundolo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Jakub Mensik@ 38.0¢6h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Jakub Mensik@ 66.0¢7h ago
15m INVALIDATED -30.0pp1h INVALIDATED -56.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Jakub Mensik DOWN 3.0pp · near-book depth $27.7K → $11.7K · 14s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Francisco Cerundolo; negative values favor Jakub Mensik. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hJakub Mensik · $14.6K
6hJakub Mensik · $62.2K
24hJakub Mensik · $60.7K

Francisco Cerundolo price VWAP

Volume-weighted Francisco Cerundolo price. Jakub Mensik fills are converted to the complementary Francisco Cerundolo probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h59.9¢▲ above by 40.1pp
VWAP 7d59.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Francisco Cerundolo price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$18.7K
90¢
$11
85¢
$18.4K
80¢
$1.5K
75¢
$57
70¢
$54
65¢
$14.4K
60¢
$56.2K
55¢
$3.0K
50¢
$2.7K
45¢
$1
40¢
$2.8K
35¢
$57.6K
30¢
$2.3K
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYJakub Mensik$16.9K@ 38.6¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—about 6 hours ago
BUYJakub Mensik$13.0K@ 65.0¢
ChallengerSpecialist0x5ba6…0f07
🐋—about 10 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Counter-Strike: G2 vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage
53.5¢$875.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner
100.0¢$780.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Dota 2: 1win vs OG (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier
100.0¢$763.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: LOUD vs FURIA Esports - Game 2 Winner
0.1¢$528.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner
0.1¢$490.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Packers vs. Buccaneers
59.5¢$483.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians
80.5¢$478.3Kpriority46Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Colts vs. Commanders
66.5¢$441.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

askilikaJakub Mensik$22.1K
BUY VWAP 63.7¢·4 fills
kkookkooJakub Mensik$20.4K
BUY VWAP 38.3¢·2 fills
ChallengerSpecialistJakub Mensik$13.0K
BUY VWAP 65.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.