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LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Sports→Settlement: RESOLVEDLiquidity: $276.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $293.4KEvent: LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage
19.5¢
Shopify Rebellion payout
80.5¢
JD Gaming payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:131 trades$152.1K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 52%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 42 min agoofficial metadata 27 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:JD Gaming · $9.6K net·8 wallets(1🐋)·$33.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLJD Gaming$11.5K@ 100¢·aomendushen008

Historical decision record

Market resolved. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-05 16:40 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Shopify Rebellion" if Shopify Rebellion win Game 1 against JD Gaming.

•This market will resolve to "JD Gaming" if JD Gaming win Game 1 against Shopify Rebellion.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Round 2 match between Shopify Rebellion and JD Gaming in the Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Shopify Rebellion" if Shopify Rebellion win Game 1 against JD Gaming. This market will resolve to "JD Gaming" if JD Gaming win Game 1 against Shopify Rebellion. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 19, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 5, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 27m ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 27m ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
Sisyphus.3 linked markets · $72.6K gross
0x9e3e…f8824 linked markets · $41.1K gross
hurrican2 linked markets · $26.7K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Shopify Rebellion; negative values favor JD Gaming. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hShopify Rebellion · $10.5K
6hJD Gaming · $15.9K
24hJD Gaming · $15.9K

Shopify Rebellion price VWAP

Volume-weighted Shopify Rebellion price. JD Gaming fills are converted to the complementary Shopify Rebellion probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current19.5¢
VWAP 24h6.8¢▲ above by 12.7pp
VWAP 7d6.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Shopify Rebellion price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$1.0K
20¢
$17.6K
15¢
← now
$24.3K
10¢
$9.0K
5¢
$8.5K
0¢
$91.7K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLJD Gaming$11.5K@ 99.9¢
aomendushen0080xd3f1…7535
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYJD Gaming$10.2K@ 99.9¢
c4a759e5c9350491AF61646f2c4A460x14f1…4a46
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

c4a759e5c9350491AF61646f2c4A46JD Gaming$10.2K
BUY VWAP 99.9¢·1 fill
aomendushen008JD Gaming$10.0K
BUY VWAP 86.6¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.