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Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5)

Sports→Settlement: JD GamingLiquidity: $153.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $137.4KEvent: LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage
100.0¢
JD Gaming payout
0.0¢
Shopify Rebellion payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:54 trades$39.5K trackedsource coverage 29%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 67 min agoofficial metadata 17 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Shopify Rebellion · $1.1K net·5 wallets·$1.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYShopify Rebellion$8.7K@ 37¢·Schrodinger1887

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome JD Gaming. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-05 16:40 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "JD Gaming" if JD Gaming wins 2 or more games than Shopify Rebellion in this match.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Shopify Rebellion".

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Round 2 match between Shopify Rebellion and JD Gaming in the Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "JD Gaming" if JD Gaming wins 2 or more games than Shopify Rebellion in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Shopify Rebellion". Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 19, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 5, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
Sisyphus.3 linked markets · $72.6K gross
0x9e3e…f8824 linked markets · $41.1K gross
hurrican2 linked markets · $26.7K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: JD Gaming DOWN 4.5pp · near-book depth $85 → $136 · 9s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor JD Gaming; negative values favor Shopify Rebellion. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hShopify Rebellion · $1.0K
6hJD Gaming · $10.6K
24hShopify Rebellion · $1.9K

JD Gaming price VWAP

Volume-weighted JD Gaming price. Shopify Rebellion fills are converted to the complementary JD Gaming probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h65.2¢▲ above by 34.8pp
VWAP 7d65.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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JD Gaming price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$1.5K
90¢
$0
85¢
$290
80¢
$34
75¢
$667
70¢
$799
65¢
$2.3K
60¢
$34.0K
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.